| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 89.4k | 71.4¢ | 64.5¢ | $57.7k | −$6,135 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 298k | 23.4¢ | 15.5¢ | $46.2k | −$23.6k | −$6,005 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 51.3k | 62.4¢ | 62.5¢ | $32.1k | +$53 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 41.8k | 61.6¢ | 62.5¢ | $26.1k | +$393 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.3k | 2.4¢ | 44.3¢ | $21.4k | +$20.2k | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 57.1k | 33¢ | 37.5¢ | $21.4k | +$2,570 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 252k | 17.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $21.4k | −$22.8k | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 117k | 16.1¢ | 15.5¢ | $18.1k | −$724 | −$24.9k | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 68.4k | 29.1¢ | 22.5¢ | $15.4k | −$4,541 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 30.0k | 33¢ | 38.5¢ | $11.6k | +$1,650 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 61.7k | 21.3¢ | 17.5¢ | $10.8k | −$2,341 | +$579 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 68.9k | 8.4¢ | 14.5¢ | $9,990 | +$4,196 | +$9,103 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 9,789 | 50.5¢ | 72.1¢ | $7,053 | +$2,111 | +$12.4k | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 70.2k | 11.6¢ | 9.5¢ | $6,673 | −$1,456 | +$80 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 63.3k | 7.8¢ | 10.5¢ | $6,649 | +$1,732 | +$485 | |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40.0k | 17¢ | 9¢ | $3,600 | −$3,200 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | Yes | 4,864 | 44.9¢ | 73¢ | $3,551 | +$1,365 | $0 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 12.0k | 19.3¢ | 25¢ | $2,988 | +$686 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 44.6k | 21.3¢ | 6.5¢ | $2,898 | −$6,592 | +$42 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 89.6k | 6¢ | 2.6¢ | $2,286 | −$3,093 | +$14.2k | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | No | 8,273 | 31¢ | 27¢ | $2,234 | −$328 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,435 | 42¢ | 17.5¢ | $1,476 | −$2,067 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 1,569 | 72.4¢ | 73¢ | $1,145 | +$8.79 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 756k | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | $1,134 | −$377 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 18.0k | 5.1¢ | 5¢ | $889 | −$25 | −$2,640 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 2,758 | 32¢ | 27¢ | $745 | −$138 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 3,810 | 16.6¢ | 18.5¢ | $705 | +$71 | $0 | |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? | No change | 574 | 29.2¢ | 85.5¢ | $491 | +$323 | +$2,439 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 593 | 48.8¢ | 75.5¢ | $447 | +$158 | +$2,067 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 488 | 83¢ | 88.5¢ | $432 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 1,142 | 50¢ | 37.5¢ | $428 | −$143 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | Yes | 3,911 | 18.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $372 | −$352 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | Yes | 7,794 | 11.5¢ | 4.7¢ | $362 | −$531 | $0 | |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.3k | 2.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $338 | −$829 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 73.1k | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $329 | −$36 | +$26 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.1k | 13.7¢ | 2.2¢ | $324 | −$1,747 | −$638 | |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.3k | 2.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $314 | −$853 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 5,000 | 12¢ | 6¢ | $300 | −$300 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 72.9k | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $292 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | Yes | 2,740 | 16¢ | 8¢ | $219 | −$219 | −$121 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1,352 | 22.1¢ | 12.6¢ | $170 | −$129 | −$64 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 1,228 | 46¢ | 12.5¢ | $154 | −$411 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? | Yes | 818 | 12¢ | 18.4¢ | $150 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 1,130 | 15¢ | 12.5¢ | $141 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20.0k | 0.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $130 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 21.4k | 0.4¢ | 0.6¢ | $128 | +$53 | +$1.63 | |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20.0k | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $110 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 13.5k | 0¢ | 0.8¢ | $108 | +$108 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1,088 | 15¢ | 9.5¢ | $103 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 102k | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $102 | −$1,333 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 233 | 71¢ | 42.5¢ | $99 | −$66 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 1,309 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | $98 | −$72 | $0 | |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.3k | 2.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $97 | −$1,071 | $0 | |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 74.2k | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $74 | −$1,225 | $0 | |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 73.2k | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $73 | −$1,263 | $0 | |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.3k | 2.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $73 | −$1,095 | $0 | |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.3k | 2.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $73 | −$1,095 | $0 | |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 61.2k | 2¢ | 0.1¢ | $61 | −$1,166 | $0 | |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 55.1k | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $55 | −$1,139 | $0 | |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.3k | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $48 | −$1,119 | $0 | |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.3k | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $48 | −$1,119 | $0 | |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.3k | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $48 | −$1,119 | $0 | |
| Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.3k | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $48 | −$1,119 | $0 | |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.3k | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $48 | −$1,119 | $0 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 22.6k | 0¢ | 0.2¢ | $45 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 86 | 36¢ | 46.5¢ | $40 | +$9.04 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | Yes | 337 | 12.5¢ | 11.5¢ | $39 | −$3.52 | $0 | |
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 12.2k | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $6.08 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 12.2k | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $6.08 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 12.2k | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $6.08 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 12.2k | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $6.08 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 12.2k | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $6.08 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 12.2k | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $6.08 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 12.2k | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $6.08 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 12.2k | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $6.08 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 11.2k | 5.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $5.61 | −$656 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2,946 | 10.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.95 | −$306 | $0 | |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2,512 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.26 | −$8.76 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1 | 50¢ | 85.2¢ | $0.85 | +$0.35 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 18 | 25.9¢ | 4.5¢ | $0.83 | −$3.93 | −$620 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6 | 0.4¢ | 1.3¢ | $0.07 | +$0.05 | +$249 | |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4 | 0.4¢ | 1.8¢ | $0.07 | +$0.05 | +$355 | |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | No | 1.05M | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,139 | $0 | |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | 1,000,000 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,000 | −$2,343 | |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025? | Yes | 552k | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,440 | $0 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | No | 404k | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$798 | +$8,237 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 308k | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11.4k | +$28 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 304k | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,211 | +$112 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | No | 264k | 21.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57.1k | −$4,319 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 234k | 23.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$54.9k | −$8,896 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | Yes | 232k | 14.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$34.1k | −$2,095 | |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 231k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,727 | −$14 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | Yes | 205k | 14.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30.1k | −$4,693 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | Yes | 201k | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27.8k | +$1,709 | |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? | No | 175k | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,809 | −$1,436 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | Yes | 143k | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14.2k | −$499 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | Yes | 130k | 21.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28.6k | +$18.5k | |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Yes | 125k | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17.2k | −$1,022 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | Yes | 121k | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,066 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Yes | 118k | 11.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13.2k | +$12.7k | |
