PnL all-time+$1,152vol $11.1k
PnL 30d−$412gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$201win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 57.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$473cash n/a
Positions3 / 11open / all-time
Max drawdown−44.4%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$705below peak −$434Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable35
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity56
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yesclosed+$516Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? · Noclosed+$299Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? · Yesclosed+$252Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? · Noclosed+$108Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Noclosed+$96
Worst markets
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | No | 263 | 38.3¢ | 74¢ | $195 | +$94 | $0 | |
| Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? | Yes | 606 | 53.9¢ | 32¢ | $194 | −$133 | $0 | |
| Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026? | Yes | 735 | 16.1¢ | 11.5¢ | $84 | −$34 | $0 |
Recent trades
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