PnL all-time−$7,464vol $154k
PnL 30d+$2,100gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$960win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 56.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$23.2kcash n/a
Positions11 / 16open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$17.2kbelow peak −$21.6kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
9/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable40
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 January 26-1? · Yesclosed+$3,597Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? · Yesclosed+$2,924Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Noopen+$600MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · Yesopen+$125Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? · Noopen+$84
Worst markets
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$9,690Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1? · Yesopen−$6,868Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? · Noopen−$2,642Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3? · Yesopen−$2,345Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28? · Noopen−$2,142
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 60.0k | 34¢ | 17.8¢ | $10.7k | −$9,690 | $0 | |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 10,000 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $10,000 | +$600 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | $2,000 | +$84 | $0 | |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Yes | 500 | 75¢ | 100¢ | $500 | +$125 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1? | Yes | 20.0k | 34.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,894 | +$26 | |
| Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28? | No | 9,000 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,250 | +$108 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? | No | 6,000 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,642 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3? | Yes | 5,872 | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,345 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3? | Yes | 5,000 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 89¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$445 | $0 | |
| Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | 13.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 |
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