sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,467

DonaldinhoTrumpito

0x752…4c4c@Ragnarok_1er
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$329kvol $56.2M
PnL 30d+$9,735gains $20.1k · losses $9,874
PnL 7d+$781win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate70.7%adj 69.9% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$124kcash n/a
Positions41 / 1,924open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3.1ylast trade 25d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$296kbelow peak −$542kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 70.7% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d15
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 41

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No50.0k83¢95¢$47.5k+$5,975$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No20.0k84¢98.4¢$19.7k+$2,870$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No23.2k60.7¢81.5¢$18.9k+$4,827$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No20.0k75¢90.5¢$18.1k+$3,100$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes10.0k94¢96¢$9,600+$200$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No5,35579.3¢94.5¢$5,061+$814−$18
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat?Yes2,50093¢94.5¢$2,363+$38$0
Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat?No1,50093¢94¢$1,409+$14$0
French election called by December 31, 2026?No1,13781.4¢93¢$1,058+$132$0
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Yes1,54965.5¢10¢$155−$859$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes100.7¢21.5¢$2.15+$2.08$0
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes100.7¢0.7¢$0.07$0$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes222k23.6¢0¢$0−$52.3k−$20
US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander BlockxFrancisco Cerundolo150k70.7¢0¢$0−$106k−$279
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes77.0k68.5¢0¢$0−$52.7k−$381
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon NakashimaRafael Jodar75.0k68¢0¢$0−$51.0k−$179
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub MensikJakub Mensik50.0k67¢0¢$0−$33.5k−$337
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin BonziBenjamin Bonzi50.0k55¢0¢$0−$27.5k$0
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Ignacio BuseJuan Manuel Cerundolo29.9k54¢0¢$0−$16.2k−$0.31
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur FilsJiri Lehecka25.3k41¢0¢$0−$10.4k−$162
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio CobolliAlexander Blockx25.0k53¢0¢$0−$13.2k−$162
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno BorgesAndrey Rublev20.0k60¢0¢$0−$12.0k−$0.22
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Daniel AltmaierDaniel Altmaier20.0k40¢0¢$0−$8,000$0
US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael ZhengFabian Marozsan20.0k42¢0¢$0−$8,400$0
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Frances TiafoeValentin Vacherot16.0k36¢0¢$0−$5,760$0
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Sebastian BaezSebastian Baez14.8k58¢0¢$0−$8,572−$3.90
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky HijikataRaphael Collignon14.1k64.3¢0¢$0−$9,040−$0.04
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan SchoolkateLiam Draxl14.0k54¢0¢$0−$7,571−$5.69
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin MoutetMarton Fucsovics10,00048¢0¢$0−$4,800$0
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick HanfmannFlavio Cobolli10,00057¢0¢$0−$5,700−$13
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances TiafoeLorenzo Sonego10,00039¢0¢$0−$3,900$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?Yes6,13810¢0¢$0−$613−$130
Winston-Salem Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano DarderiMattia Bellucci5,35855¢0¢$0−$2,947$0
Cincinnati Open: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky HijikataLuciano Darderi4,65661¢0¢$0−$2,840−$26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes4,60012.5¢0¢$0−$575−$51.6k
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes3,71944.2¢0¢$0−$1,643−$46
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Abedallah ShelbayhAbedallah Shelbayh1,31530.7¢0¢$0−$403$0
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia BellucciZachary Svajda1,14762¢0¢$0−$711$0
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Vallejo (+1.5)Paul14354¢0¢$0−$77$0
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?No6078.7¢0¢$0−$47−$0.50
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)Atmane2039¢0¢$0−$7.64$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?99.9¢150k$150k71%32Whale
BUY Francisco CerundoloUS Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx67¢21.9k$14.6k71%32Whale
BUY Francisco CerundoloUS Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx72¢3,708$2,67071%32
SELL Alexander BlockxUS Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx27¢5,920$1,59871%32
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?99.6¢107k$106k71%32Whale
BUY Carlos AlcarazUS Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz99.5¢12.7k$12.6k71%32Whale
BUY NoWill AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?78¢3,027$2,36171%32
SELL Botic van de ZandschulpUS Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de Zandschulp89¢30.0k$26.7k71%32Whale
BUY YesWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?34¢125$4371%32
BUY Jurij RodionovUS Open ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard93¢16.2k$15.1k71%32Whale
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢100.0k$84.0k71%32Whale
BUY Jurij RodionovUS Open ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard93¢3$2.6471%32
SELL NoWill Dan S. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?99.9¢689$68871%32
SELL YesWill Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?99.9¢2,977$2,97471%32
SELL NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?99.9¢8,530$8,52171%32
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?99.2¢6,500$6,44871%32
BUY Jurij RodionovUS Open ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard93¢26.0k$24.2k71%32Whale
BUY Jurij RodionovUS Open ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard92¢21.5k$19.7k71%32Whale
BUY Jurij RodionovUS Open ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard52¢9,954$5,17671%32
BUY Liam DraxlUS Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate55¢460$25371%32