PnL all-time−$458vol $27.0k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate18.2%adj 38.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$218cash n/a
Positions6 / 17open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.7%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$458below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
11/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 18.2% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable41
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$172Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI · Yesopen−$1542024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House · Yesclosed−$125Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator? · Yesopen−$110Kamala wins 276-262 - PA, NV, MI, WI · Yesclosed−$93
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | 218 | 22.9¢ | 100¢ | $218 | +$168 | $0 | |
| Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI | Yes | 813 | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$82 | −$72 | |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey? | No | 409 | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 | |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House | Yes | 377 | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | +$3.16 | |
| Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator? | Yes | 316 | 34.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$110 | $0 | |
| Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator? | Yes | 71 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 |
Recent trades
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