PnL all-time−$30vol $2,627
PnL 30d−$27gains $0 · losses $0.27
PnL 7d+$24win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate46.7%adj 48.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$189cash n/a
Positions3 / 33open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.6%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$31below peak −$33Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 46.7% · shrunk toward 50%20
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d85
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · Yesclosed+$8.87Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Noclosed+$8.79Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesclosed+$7.87Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30? · Noclosed+$6.31Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? · Yesclosed+$5.38
Worst markets
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$11Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? · Noopen−$10Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · Noclosed−$10Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$9.76Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? · Yesclosed−$9.36
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | No | 1,715 | 11.2¢ | 11¢ | $189 | −$3.11 | $0 |
Recent trades
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