sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,911

quietparcel

0x764…6bad
SharpPnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$61.2kvol $5.95M
PnL 30d−$6,885gains $4,378 · losses $255
PnL 7d+$25.0kwin rate 7d 73.4%
Win rate73.4%adj 72.4% · 30d 73.4%
Open value$1,140cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 57,773open / all-time
Max drawdown−49.9%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 3m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$120kbelow peak −$71.0kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 73.4% · shrunk toward 50%81
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity50

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?Yes6352.7¢77¢$489+$472$0
Will Ahmad Hardy win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes4001.7¢3.4¢$13+$6.70$0
Will Gunner Stockton win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes4001.7¢3.4¢$13+$6.70$0
Will Bo Jackson win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes4001.7¢3.1¢$12+$5.70$0
Will Drew Mestemaker win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes4001.7¢2.7¢$11+$3.90$0
Will Kewan Lacy win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes4001.7¢2.6¢$10+$3.70$0
Will LaNorris Sellers win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes4001.7¢2.1¢$8.20+$1.50$0
Will Josh Hoover win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes4001.7¢1.3¢$5.20−$1.50$0
Will Bryce Underwood win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes4001.7¢1.2¢$4.60−$2.10$0
Will Will Hammond win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes4001.7¢1.1¢$4.20−$2.50$0
Will Rocco Becht win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes4001.7¢1¢$3.80−$2.90$0
Will Austin Mack win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes4001.7¢0.9¢$3.60−$3.10$0
Will TSW be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes7323.2¢0.5¢$3.29−$20$0
Will GAM be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes6243.2¢0.4¢$2.18−$18$0
Will Yang Chiung-ying win the next Taichung Mayor election?Yes4812.5¢0.5¢$2.16−$9.77$0
Will C9 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes6183.2¢0.3¢$1.55−$18$0
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,4011.1¢0.1¢$1.20−$26$0
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3911.1¢0.1¢$1.20−$26$0
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3801.1¢0.1¢$1.19−$25$0
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3651.1¢0.1¢$1.18−$25$0
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3451.1¢0.1¢$1.17−$25$0
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,7821.1¢0.1¢$0.89−$19$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 6%-9%?Yes7303.9¢0.1¢$0.73−$28$0
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes5111.6¢0.1¢$0.51−$7.43$0
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes9351.3¢0.1¢$0.47−$12$0
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes9351.3¢0.1¢$0.47−$12$0
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes9351.3¢0.1¢$0.47−$12$0
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes9351.3¢0.1¢$0.47−$12$0
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes9351.3¢0.1¢$0.47−$12$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?Yes4646.7¢0.1¢$0.46−$30$0
Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9222¢0.1¢$0.46−$18$0
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9222¢0.1¢$0.46−$18$0
Will James Wood win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9222¢0.1¢$0.46−$18$0
Will Otto Lopez win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9222¢0.1¢$0.46−$18$0
Will Andy Pages win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes8922¢0.1¢$0.45−$17$0
Will Francisco Lindor win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes8922¢0.1¢$0.45−$17$0
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes8922¢0.1¢$0.45−$17$0
Will Kyle Tucker win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes8922¢0.1¢$0.45−$17$0
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes8622¢0.1¢$0.43−$16$0
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes8601.7¢0.1¢$0.43−$14−$0.03
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes8601.7¢0.1¢$0.43−$14−$0.03
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes8601.7¢0.1¢$0.43−$14−$0.03
Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes8601.7¢0.1¢$0.43−$14−$0.03
Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes8601.7¢0.1¢$0.43−$14−$0.03
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes8601.7¢0.1¢$0.43−$14−$0.03
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes8601.7¢0.1¢$0.43−$14−$0.03
Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes8601.7¢0.1¢$0.43−$14−$0.03
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes8322¢0.1¢$0.42−$16$0
Will Corbin Carroll win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes8322¢0.1¢$0.42−$16$0
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes7781.3¢0.1¢$0.39−$10$0
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes7522.1¢0.1¢$0.38−$15−$2.13
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes7491.3¢0.1¢$0.37−$9.72$0
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes7433.1¢0.1¢$0.37−$23$0
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes7353.1¢0.1¢$0.37−$23$0
Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes7301.7¢0.1¢$0.37−$12−$0.03
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes72019.9¢0.1¢$0.36−$143−$0.10
Will WBG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes7183.2¢0.1¢$0.36−$23$0
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes7181.4¢0.1¢$0.36−$9.33−$0.74
Will Matt Olson win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes7022¢0.1¢$0.35−$13$0
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes6722¢0.1¢$0.34−$13$0
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6633.1¢0.1¢$0.33−$20$0
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6633.1¢0.1¢$0.33−$20$0
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6613.1¢0.1¢$0.33−$20$0
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6533.1¢0.1¢$0.33−$20$0
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6533.1¢0.1¢$0.33−$20$0
Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes6252¢0.1¢$0.31−$12$0
Will Elly De La Cruz win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes6252¢0.1¢$0.31−$12$0
Will FLY be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes6243.2¢0.1¢$0.31−$20$0
Will BFX be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes6243.2¢0.1¢$0.31−$20$0
Will CFO be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes6243.2¢0.1¢$0.31−$20$0
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6033.1¢0.1¢$0.30−$18$0
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes5961.6¢0.1¢$0.30−$8.97$0
Will Nicolás del Caño win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes5961.6¢0.1¢$0.30−$8.97$0
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes5852¢0.1¢$0.29−$11−$0.56
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?Yes5706.7¢0.1¢$0.29−$38$0
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes5633.1¢0.1¢$0.28−$17$0
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes5633.1¢0.1¢$0.28−$17$0
Will Santiago Rosendo Abarca León win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Rubén José Ramírez Mateo win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Jessica Viviana Linares Romero win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Flor de María Hurtado Valdez win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Samir Frank Quispe Caballero win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Sandro Caller Gutiérrez win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Segundo Valdez Zavala win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5542¢0.1¢$0.28−$11$0
Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes5342¢0.1¢$0.27−$11$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?Yes4646.7¢0.1¢$0.23−$31$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?Yes4646.7¢0.1¢$0.23−$31$0
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes4482¢0.1¢$0.22−$8.92−$0.09
Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes4482¢0.1¢$0.22−$8.92$0
Will Yehude Simón Munaro win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes4482¢0.1¢$0.22−$8.92$0
Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes4482¢0.1¢$0.22−$8.92$0
Will Demond Williams Jr. win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes4001.7¢0.1¢$0.20−$6.50$0
Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?Yes39714.2¢0.1¢$0.20−$56$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 14?75¢7$5.2573%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?99.7¢30$3073%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?99.7¢10$9.9773%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?94.5¢53$5073%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?94.5¢85$8073%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C or below on October 13?99.9¢10$9.9973%70Sharp
BUY NoWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?97.9¢10$9.7973%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 13?99.8¢12$1273%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 13?99.8¢8$7.9873%70Sharp
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 0%-5%?4.5¢128$5.7873%70Sharp
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 13?0.1¢25$0.0373%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on October 14?99.9¢8$7.9973%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14?95¢10$9.5073%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 14?99.9¢10$9.9973%70Sharp
BUY NoWill AL be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?98.3¢10$9.8373%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C or below on October 13?99.9¢10$9.9973%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 13?99.9¢10$9.9973%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?86¢40$3473%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?99.1¢30$3073%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?99.1¢10$9.9173%70Sharp