PnL all-time+$828vol $191k
PnL 30d+$1,091gains $933 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$857win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate94.3%adj 78.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$7,730cash n/a
Positions12 / 47open / all-time
Max drawdown−81.2%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 6h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$975below peak $0Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale42
Adjusted win rateraw 94.3% · shrunk toward 50%96
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity19
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? | No | 3,160 | 89.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $2,860 | +$33 | $0 | |
| China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 1,911 | 96.6¢ | 96.2¢ | $1,838 | −$6.94 | $0 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026? | No | 1,397 | 96.6¢ | 96.5¢ | $1,348 | −$2.66 | +$7.35 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? | No | 813 | 94.7¢ | 98.5¢ | $800 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? | No | 350 | 96.6¢ | 97.4¢ | $340 | +$2.80 | $0 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? | No | 242 | 95.1¢ | 96.9¢ | $234 | +$4.30 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | 19¢ | 22.5¢ | $113 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? | No | 109 | 96.4¢ | 95.9¢ | $105 | −$0.54 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | Yes | 100 | 58¢ | 65.5¢ | $66 | +$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 28 | 47.7¢ | 64.4¢ | $18 | +$4.70 | $0 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 10 | 68¢ | 64.6¢ | $6.46 | −$0.34 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? | No | 3 | 62¢ | 67¢ | $1.76 | +$0.13 | $0 |
Recent trades
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