PnL all-time+$116vol $9,984
PnL 30d+$13gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$7.31win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate68.2%adj 64.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$249cash n/a
Positions2 / 69open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.0%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 8d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$135below peak −$2.64Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale29
Adjusted win rateraw 68.2% · shrunk toward 50%60
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d71
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yesclosed+$29Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · Noclosed+$27Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by August 31? · Noclosed+$15Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027? · Noopen+$13Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Noclosed+$13
Worst markets
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$25Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yesclosed−$16Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesclosed−$5.27Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · Noclosed−$5.2430% EU tariff in effect by August 1? · Yesclosed−$5.04
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2027? | No | 200 | 66¢ | 66.5¢ | $133 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027? | No | 146 | 70.3¢ | 79.5¢ | $116 | +$13 | $0 |
Recent trades
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