sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,603

scorp0212

0x778…4e2d
Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$6,012vol $269k
PnL 30d+$1,203gains $917 · losses $147
PnL 7d+$782win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate51.8%adj 51.3% · 30d 42.9%
Open value$15.5kcash n/a
Positions24 / 80open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,541below peak −$2,236Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 51.8% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No12.1k53.4¢85.5¢$10.3k+$3,873$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No2,49052.5¢85.5¢$2,129+$821+$63
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,48250.2¢54.2¢$803+$59+$19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No1,36259.8¢56.5¢$769−$45$0
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?No93047.4¢59.5¢$553+$113$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No51256¢65.5¢$335+$49$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes22.2k1.8¢1.3¢$278−$113$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?No40021¢34.5¢$138+$54$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No14451.7¢55.4¢$80+$5.31+$223
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes50021.6¢15.5¢$78−$31$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes20043.4¢7.9¢$16−$71$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Yes20020¢5.5¢$11−$29$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,0410.8¢0.5¢$5.73−$2.60$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No66.7k6.4¢0¢$0−$4,260+$121
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No36.5k12.6¢0¢$0−$4,580+$136
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No3,06144.2¢0¢$0−$1,353−$2,355
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No70542.4¢0¢$0−$299$0
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes66431.9¢0¢$0−$212−$85
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No5001.1¢0¢$0−$5.50$0
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes4003.4¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes2003¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes15018.7¢0¢$0−$28+$24
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Yes2615.8¢0¢$0−$4.10$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETDown1920¢0¢$0−$3.85$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?52.2¢28$1552%25
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?52.1¢15$7.9652%25
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?16¢100$1652%25
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?59¢187$11052%25
SELL NoWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?54.2¢468$25452%25
SELL YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?36¢3,327$1,19852%25
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?41¢1,030$42252%25
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?42¢105$4452%25
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?61¢100$6152%25
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?73¢400$29252%25
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?21¢50$1152%25
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?61¢200$12252%25
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?52¢100$5252%25
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1.1¢1,028$1152%25
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?31.9¢1,876$59852%25
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?73¢100$7352%25
BUY NoWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?48.1¢150$7252%25
BUY NoWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?48.1¢200$9652%25
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?32.5¢1,150$37352%25
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?73¢200$14652%25