| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2,225 | 31.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,969 | +$1,269 | −$84 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 9,500 | 26.9¢ | 13.5¢ | $1,282 | −$1,272 | $0 | |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | No | 952 | 48.3¢ | 75.5¢ | $719 | +$259 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | No | 536 | 46.6¢ | 92¢ | $493 | +$243 | $0 | |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 129 | 36¢ | 72¢ | $93 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 541 | 20¢ | 0.3¢ | $1.62 | −$107 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | Yes | 276k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,802 | −$93 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | Yes | 172k | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,666 | −$169 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | Yes | 111k | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,251 | −$70 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | Yes | 109k | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$530 | −$7.33 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Yes | 104k | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,566 | +$1,206 | |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 102k | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,630 | −$47 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? | Yes | 75.0k | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,948 | −$48 | |
| Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao? | Yes | 74.0k | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$359 | −$11 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | Yes | 72.4k | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$940 | −$18 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Yes | 71.6k | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,816 | +$1,400 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Yes | 64.1k | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$481 | +$140 | |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 0.5 | Under | 55.1k | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$848 | −$5.59 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | Yes | 53.9k | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$450 | −$12 | |
| Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 0.5 | Under | 50.6k | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,338 | −$13 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Yes | 50.0k | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | Yes | 48.9k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$598 | −$9.36 | |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 48.9k | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,707 | −$65 | |
| AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 | Under | 42.9k | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,684 | −$13 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | Yes | 41.1k | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$557 | −$24 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Yes | 41.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$41 | −$2.05 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? | Yes | 37.1k | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$417 | −$17 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | Yes | 36.6k | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,026 | −$5.69 | |
| Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 0 Uruguay? | Yes | 36.0k | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$720 | −$21 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | Yes | 35.4k | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$635 | −$16 | |
| Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao? | Yes | 33.6k | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$811 | −$22 | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 33.2k | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,549 | −$83 | |
| Spread: South Africa (-2.5) | South Africa | 33.1k | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$250 | −$2.38 | |
| Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5 | Under | 32.5k | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$935 | −$4.87 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Yes | 30.5k | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$6.03 | |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 30.4k | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,700 | −$73 | |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5 | Under | 30.3k | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,219 | −$16 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | No | 30.2k | 12.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,700 | −$122 | |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 | Under | 30.0k | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$430 | −$0.04 | |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 29.5k | 18.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,495 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | Yes | 29.3k | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$134 | −$16 | |
| Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao? | Yes | 28.5k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$277 | −$7.78 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Yes | 28.2k | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,003 | +$60 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Yes | 27.5k | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,241 | −$28 | |
| FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5 | Under | 27.2k | 10.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,778 | −$75 | |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 26.9k | 8.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,280 | −$54 | |
| Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? | Yes | 26.8k | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$698 | −$15 | |
| Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Morocco? | Yes | 26.2k | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$233 | −$6.75 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? | Yes | 26.1k | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$442 | −$20 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | Yes | 26.1k | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$737 | −$19 | |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5 | Under | 25.5k | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,099 | −$27 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Yes | 25.0k | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Yes | 24.9k | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$708 | +$536 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Yes | 24.2k | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,623 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | Yes | 24.2k | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$466 | −$4.16 | |
| Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 0 Real Oviedo? | Yes | 24.0k | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,007 | −$27 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? | Yes | 24.0k | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,346 | −$36 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Yes | 23.0k | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$249 | −$6.79 | |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5 | Under | 22.6k | 6.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,415 | −$40 | |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5 | Under | 22.6k | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,214 | −$17 | |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 21.9k | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$986 | −$12 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Yes | 21.9k | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,456 | +$1,175 | |
| Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 Manchester City FC? | Yes | 21.9k | 4.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,001 | −$29 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Yes | 21.7k | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,460 | −$50 | |
| Exact Score: Al Nassr Saudi Club 0 - 0 Damac Saudi Club? | Yes | 21.7k | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$951 | −$0.84 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Yes | 21.4k | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,088 | +$226 | |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF? | Yes | 20.6k | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$856 | −$22 | |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-23? | No | 19.7k | 10.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,048 | −$48 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Yes | 19.2k | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$643 | +$257 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | Yes | 19.0k | 11.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,110 | $0 | |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 | Under | 18.7k | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$493 | −$14 | |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 | Under | 18.6k | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,440 | −$27 | |
| FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 18.5k | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,404 | −$33 | |
| France vs. England: O/U 6.5 | Under | 18.2k | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,000 | −$89 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 18.1k | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,970 | −$30 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Yes | 17.8k | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$278 | +$544 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | No | 17.6k | 14.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,580 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026? | Yes | 17.5k | 6.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,062 | +$1,099 | |
| Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 2.5 | Under | 17.3k | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$837 | −$11 | |
| Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 17.3k | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,168 | −$10 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | Yes | 17.0k | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,125 | −$222 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in May 2026? | Yes | 16.9k | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$101 | $0 | |
| Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 16.8k | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,500 | −$41 | |
| FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 | Under | 16.7k | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$818 | −$20 | |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 VfB Stuttgart? | Yes | 16.2k | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$324 | −$1.02 | |
| Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 16.1k | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,220 | −$25 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in May 2026? | Yes | 16.0k | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$680 | −$33 | |
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 1 Aston Villa FC? | Yes | 15.9k | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$530 | −$3.40 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 15.8k | 10.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,672 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: Shanghai Shenhua FC 0 - 0 Wuhan San Zhen FC? | Yes | 15.6k | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$772 | −$1.75 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | Yes | 14.9k | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$135 | −$4.95 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | Yes | 14.5k | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$195 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Yes | 14.4k | 14.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,075 | −$19 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | Yes | 14.2k | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$786 | +$997 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | Yes | 14.0k | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42 | +$122 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 13.9k | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,247 | +$855 | |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | Under | 13.8k | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,500 | −$40 | |
| Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Costa Rica? | Yes | 13.5k | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$526 | −$0.37 | |
| SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5 | Under | 13.5k | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,434 | −$38 | |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | Yes | 13.4k | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$540 | −$26 | |