PnL all-time+$2,177vol $237k
PnL 30d−$152gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$45win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate14.3%adj 40.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,700cash n/a
Positions5 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−41.0%of equity peak
Account age2.4ylast trade 18h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,053below peak −$1,426Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 14.3% · shrunk toward 50%2
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity59
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? · Yesclosed−$590Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$200Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Noopen−$160Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? · Yesopen−$153Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Noclosed−$113
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 17.9k | 10.4¢ | 9.5¢ | $1,700 | −$160 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 52.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52 | −$2.60 | |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | Yes | 40.0k | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$70 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 38.2k | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$191 | −$9.49 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? | Yes | 8,550 | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$154 | +$1.00 |
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