PnL all-time+$209vol $2,907
PnL 30d+$9.64gains $51 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$31win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 81.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$0.57cash n/a
Positions9 / 42open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.3%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 12h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$201below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale33
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable54
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026? · Noclosed+$51Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23? · Noclosed+$42Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026? · Yesclosed+$40Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Noclosed+$32Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19? · Noclosed+$16
Worst markets
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Noopen−$28Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Noopen−$15Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21? · Noopen−$11Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14? · Noopen−$3.17Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026? · Noopen−$1.96
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | 19 | 83¢ | 3¢ | $0.57 | −$15 | −$13 | |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | 28 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | −$0.35 | |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14? | No | 5 | 59¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.10 | −$0.06 | |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21? | No | 4 | 79.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.33 | −$7.57 | |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026? | No | 3 | 60¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.96 | $0 | |
| Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in July 2026? | Yes | 2 | 33.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.62 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? | No | 1 | 73¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.94 | −$0.01 | |
| North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 1 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.16 | −$0.11 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 1 | 87.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 |
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