sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,843

HorribleWork

0x780…7025
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$421kvol $27.7M
PnL 30d+$202gains $1,214 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$7,120win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate88.3%adj 86.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$15.9kcash n/a
Positions158 / 1,285open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$403kbelow peak −$406kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 88.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No11.6k73.6¢83.5¢$9,645+$1,142+$5,853
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes8,05732.5¢42.5¢$3,424+$806$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes3,38240¢36.5¢$1,234−$118$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No2,20639¢35.5¢$783−$77$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes6,3978¢9.5¢$608+$96$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes40022¢26.5¢$106+$18$0
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No31524¢22.5¢$71−$4.87$0
New pandemic in 2026?Yes48313.3¢4.5¢$22−$42$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes5736¢35.5¢$20−$0.28$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2163¢63.5¢$13+$0.10$0
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI8819¢8.5¢$7.47−$9.22$0
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes336k0.8¢0¢$0−$2,576−$38
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes208k2.2¢0¢$0−$4,523−$1.20
New York Yankees vs. New York MetsNew York Mets198k0.1¢0¢$0−$197+$4,523
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico187k48.7¢0¢$0−$91.2k−$622
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes183k1.8¢0¢$0−$3,208−$41
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes166k2.2¢0¢$0−$3,598−$61
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes149k4.5¢0¢$0−$6,776−$127
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes130k7.8¢0¢$0−$10.2k−$169
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes110k56.3¢0¢$0−$62.0k−$813
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia100k60¢0¢$0−$60.0k$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes75.1k11¢0¢$0−$8,257$0
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No75.0k18.4¢0¢$0−$13.8k+$20.7k
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Yes72.5k5.4¢0¢$0−$3,913$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes71.2k20.5¢0¢$0−$14.6k−$234
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes70.0k54¢0¢$0−$37.8k$0
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?No67.3k5.7¢0¢$0−$3,846−$6.07
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes64.1k33.8¢0¢$0−$21.6k+$6,297
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes61.1k56.2¢0¢$0−$34.4k−$301
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland60.0k24.5¢0¢$0−$14.7k$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?Yes56.5k5.8¢0¢$0−$3,257−$170
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Yes53.5k18.7¢0¢$0−$9,988−$3,218
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50.1k4¢0¢$0−$2,019−$6.67
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50.0k2.1¢0¢$0−$1,050$0
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes46.8k19.2¢0¢$0−$9,009−$4,421
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?Yes45.1k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,488$0
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsYes41.3k40.9¢0¢$0−$16.9k−$290
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsYes40.0k34¢0¢$0−$13.6k−$168
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes38.0k0.3¢0¢$0−$114$0
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes37.9k4.2¢0¢$0−$1,594$0
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No35.6k32.2¢0¢$0−$11.5k+$3,467
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes35.0k45¢0¢$0−$15.8k$0
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes33.3k12.5¢0¢$0−$4,179$0
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?Yes29.9k9.5¢0¢$0−$2,849−$168
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes25.4k24¢0¢$0−$6,092−$229
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco25.0k22.5¢0¢$0−$5,625$0
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Yes21.6k20¢0¢$0−$4,317−$199
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Yes21.6k5.5¢0¢$0−$1,183$0
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Yes21.5k12¢0¢$0−$2,587+$1,008
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes20.0k50¢0¢$0−$10.0k$0
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance16.2k52.7¢0¢$0−$8,553−$2,806
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes16.0k61.6¢0¢$0−$9,856$0
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes15.9k18.2¢0¢$0−$2,884+$4,071
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes15.3k64¢0¢$0−$9,820$0
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Yes13.6k3.5¢0¢$0−$476−$2.96
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?No10.0k8¢0¢$0−$800−$0.04
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes10.0k5.5¢0¢$0−$550$0
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway10.0k33¢0¢$0−$3,300$0
New York Yankees vs. AthleticsAthletics8,2470.1¢0¢$0−$8.24−$0.25
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No7,9494.6¢0¢$0−$365+$713
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes7,24021¢0¢$0−$1,520$0
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes6,99910¢0¢$0−$700−$19
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No6,91227.8¢0¢$0−$1,924−$54
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes6,7031.3¢0¢$0−$87−$0.53
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Yes6,6255.5¢0¢$0−$366−$13
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No5,67722¢0¢$0−$1,249$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?Yes5,1690.4¢0¢$0−$21$0
Deniz Undav: 1+ goalsYes5,00037.6¢0¢$0−$1,882−$35
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes5,00062¢0¢$0−$3,100−$35
Darwin Núñez: 1+ goalsYes3,80722.6¢0¢$0−$861−$64
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?Yes3,8009.9¢0¢$0−$378+$1,958
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of May 18 2026?Yes3,3781.6¢0¢$0−$54−$2.12
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota TwinsMiami Marlins3,2610.1¢0¢$0−$3.26−$0.10
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes3,04832.2¢0¢$0−$980−$20
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?Yes2,5004.6¢0¢$0−$115−$3.29
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,5002¢0¢$0−$50$0
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo2,32365¢0¢$0−$1,510$0
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes2,2996.5¢0¢$0−$149+$1,376
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of May 18 2026?Yes2,12320.4¢0¢$0−$433−$14
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No1,9000.2¢0¢$0−$3.80−$0.15
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsYes1,77034¢0¢$0−$602−$9.15
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies1,4010.1¢0¢$0−$1.44−$0.04
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?Yes1,37714.9¢0¢$0−$205+$44
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of May 18 2026?Yes1,1451¢0¢$0−$11−$0.43
Will Los Angeles Dodgers advance to the NLCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?No1,12039¢0¢$0−$437−$13
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes1,01158¢0¢$0−$586−$7.39
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes85963.7¢0¢$0−$547$0
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in May?Yes8260.1¢0¢$0−$0.82−$0.03
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes7985¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 18 2026?Yes7709¢0¢$0−$69−$2.49
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?No71931¢0¢$0−$223$0
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of May 18 2026?Yes70612.4¢0¢$0−$88−$3.07
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE6718¢0¢$0−$54$0
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in May?Yes5740.1¢0¢$0−$0.57−$0.02
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in May?Yes5670.2¢0¢$0−$1.13−$0.05
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes53622¢0¢$0−$118$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes50029¢0¢$0−$145$0
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?Yes46821¢0¢$0−$98−$3.03
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes43938.1¢0¢$0−$167+$1,000
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Yes3754.6¢0¢$0−$17−$0.49

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?24¢100$2488%42
BUY NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?24¢50$1288%42
BUY NoWill Los Angeles Dodgers advance to the NLCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?39¢1,120$43788%42
BUY NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?24¢152$3688%42
BUY NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?25¢13$3.3788%42
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢57$2188%42
BUY NoWill Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?73.6¢66.7k$49.1k88%42Whale
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?8¢3,820$30688%42
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?34¢1,686$57388%42
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?34¢127$4388%42
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?8¢545$4488%42
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?33¢417$13888%42
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?32¢1,910$61188%42
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?32¢579$18588%42
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?32¢593$19088%42
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?32¢107$3488%42
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?32¢13$4.1688%42
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?32¢28$8.9688%42
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?32¢101$3288%42
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?32¢289$9288%42