| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10,000 | 87¢ | 87.5¢ | $8,750 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 8,380 | 51.3¢ | 62.5¢ | $5,238 | +$937 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 4,000 | 86¢ | 88.5¢ | $3,540 | +$100 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 4,082 | 67.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $3,450 | +$695 | $0 | |
| Will Inde Navarrette rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? | Yes | 2,634 | 81.4¢ | 86¢ | $2,265 | +$122 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,886 | 54¢ | 55.3¢ | $2,149 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 2,000 | 66.4¢ | 96.7¢ | $1,933 | +$606 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 2,000 | 79¢ | 86.5¢ | $1,730 | +$150 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | No | 1,871 | 53.5¢ | 91.6¢ | $1,713 | +$713 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,993 | 78.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,684 | +$120 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1,975 | 86¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,669 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 2,200 | 72¢ | 74.5¢ | $1,639 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,726 | 85.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,580 | +$97 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | Yes | 1,794 | 75.8¢ | 87¢ | $1,561 | +$200 | $0 | |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | No | 1,702 | 85¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,557 | +$111 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 5,000 | 24.6¢ | 26.5¢ | $1,325 | +$94 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 1,802 | 73¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,288 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,524 | 77.8¢ | 83.5¢ | $1,272 | +$88 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 1,513 | 83.6¢ | 82.5¢ | $1,248 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2,000 | 35.3¢ | 60.2¢ | $1,203 | +$497 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 7,000 | 24¢ | 16.5¢ | $1,155 | −$525 | $0 | |
| Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | Yes | 1,300 | 83¢ | 86¢ | $1,118 | +$39 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 1,501 | 71.9¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,074 | −$6.46 | $0 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 1,229 | 65.6¢ | 80.5¢ | $990 | +$182 | $0 | |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 1,272 | 54.6¢ | 67.5¢ | $858 | +$164 | $0 | |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 4,488 | 14.9¢ | 16.5¢ | $740 | +$73 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2,000 | 14.7¢ | 32.6¢ | $651 | +$357 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | No | 2,354 | 27¢ | 20.5¢ | $483 | −$153 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 410 | 76¢ | 90.5¢ | $371 | +$59 | $0 | |
| Will Wagner Moura rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? | No | 379 | 81¢ | 87.5¢ | $331 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31? | Yes | 1,704 | 22.5¢ | 17.5¢ | $298 | −$85 | +$84 | |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 3,002 | 10¢ | 7.5¢ | $225 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,132 | 30.8¢ | 8.5¢ | $181 | −$475 | $0 | |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 560 | 18¢ | 19¢ | $106 | +$5.60 | $0 | |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 132 | 60¢ | 75.5¢ | $99 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? | No | 49 | 80¢ | 81.5¢ | $40 | +$0.73 | $0 | |
| Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 258 | 13.9¢ | 5.8¢ | $15 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31? | Yes | 52.2k | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,699 | $0 | |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 50.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31? | Yes | 34.7k | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$633 | $0 | |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 21.4k | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,052 | −$126 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 18.6k | 29.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,565 | −$9.87 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17.7k | 17.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,156 | −$77 | |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17.0k | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$253 | −$54 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16.6k | 35.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,894 | −$180 | |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m? | Yes | 10.9k | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$610 | $0 | |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | Netherlands | 10.5k | 59¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,211 | −$36 | |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 10.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 9,629 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,120 | −$37 | |
| Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 7,803 | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$273 | $0 | |
| Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | Yes | 7,209 | 36.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,605 | −$83 | |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,998 | 28.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,016 | −$32 | |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 5,500 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$104 | −$3.08 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31? | Yes | 5,489 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m? | Yes | 5,000 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$600 | $0 | |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5,000 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$250 | −$7.13 | |
| Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Yes | 5,000 | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$310 | −$0.12 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31? | Yes | 4,789 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 4,628 | 23.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,098 | −$0.76 | |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | 3,600 | 19.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$714 | $0 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 3,168 | 29.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$936 | −$26 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Yes | 3,119 | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | −$7.47 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$330 | $0 | |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 40m first week streams? | No | 3,000 | 60¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,800 | $0 | |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 2,781 | 43.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,210 | +$56 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | Yes | 2,623 | 84¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,203 | −$14 | |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | No | 2,500 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,650 | $0 | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,500 | 11.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$297 | −$7.86 | |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | Brazil | 2,500 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,650 | −$17 | |
| Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale? | Yes | 2,500 | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$58 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | Yes | 2,411 | 70.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,704 | −$16 | |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 2,400 | 27.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$654 | $0 | |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 2,400 | 42.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,030 | $0 | |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 2,300 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,518 | −$15 | |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,300 | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$216 | −$4.51 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 2,200 | 50.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,102 | $0 | |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 2,000 | 14.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$290 | −$7.43 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 1,987 | 25.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$506 | $0 | |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 1,900 | 80¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,520 | −$9.12 | |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1,877 | 56.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,067 | −$548 | |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | No | 1,815 | 31.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$568 | −$9.68 | |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 1,800 | 44.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$793 | −$22 | |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 1,800 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$450 | −$17 | |
| Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 1,754 | 89¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,561 | −$5.19 | |
| Hornets vs. Wizards | Wizards | 1,691 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$101 | +$88 | |
| Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | Yes | 1,674 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 | Over | 1,600 | 65¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,040 | −$11 | |
| Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | Yes | 1,599 | 49.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$788 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 1,573 | 68.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,078 | $0 | |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? | Yes | 1,530 | 15.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$233 | $0 | |
| Spurs vs. Wizards | Wizards | 1,500 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | 1,500 | 43.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$658 | −$11 | |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | Germany | 1,450 | 68.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$988 | −$3.16 | |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | No | 1,405 | 58.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$827 | $0 | |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Suns | 1,400 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$140 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Yes | 1,388 | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m? | Yes | 1,372 | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$397 | $0 | |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 35m first week streams? | No | 1,279 | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$151 | −$6.67 | |
| US strike on Colombia by March 31? | Yes | 1,200 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$144 | $0 | |