PnL all-time−$824vol $132k
PnL 30d−$111gains $100 · losses $525
PnL 7d+$63win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate82.4%adj 77.9% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$1,645cash n/a
Positions13 / 146open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 1mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,124below peak −$1,723Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 82.4% · shrunk toward 50%95
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 13
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 500 | 90¢ | 97.5¢ | $488 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Over $4B crypto hack value in 2026? | No | 328 | 92¢ | 93.5¢ | $307 | +$4.76 | $0 | |
| 3Jane FDV above $40M one day after launch? | Yes | 300 | 68¢ | 98¢ | $294 | +$90 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 600 | 85¢ | 46¢ | $276 | −$234 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 25¢ | 28.5¢ | $114 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 164 | 35¢ | 34¢ | $56 | −$1.64 | $0 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 363 | 95¢ | 12.1¢ | $44 | −$301 | +$5.32 | |
| 3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 38 | 91¢ | 95.9¢ | $36 | +$1.86 | $0 | |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 500 | 9¢ | 3.9¢ | $20 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 6 | 94.5¢ | 96.2¢ | $6.06 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 2¢ | 0.4¢ | $3.50 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | 99.9¢ | $1.01 | +$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? | No | 86 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$47 | $0 |
Recent trades
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