sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #1,978

HongKongMenace

0x791…72b2
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$53.9kvol $2.23M
PnL 30d−$24.4kgains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$25.1kwin rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate92.3%adj 80.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$70.9kcash n/a
Positions16 / 68open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.2%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 25d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$49.3kbelow peak −$32.8kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 92.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d14
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity60

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 16

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes49.4k88¢90.5¢$44.7k+$1,234$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No15.0k98.3¢100¢$15.0k+$255$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes8,00093¢87.5¢$7,000−$440$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes11.8k64.5¢12.5¢$1,471−$6,117$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No1,09178¢97.2¢$1,060+$209$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes3,21119.2¢22.5¢$722+$105$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes81676.5¢80.5¢$657+$33$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes9,8372.8¢3.4¢$330+$56$0
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1,17057.6¢0.1¢$0.58−$673$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No20.8k92.2¢0¢$0−$19.2k$0
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes17.4k15.9¢0¢$0−$2,765$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes15.6k98.5¢0¢$0−$15.3k$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes13.5k90.3¢0¢$0−$12.2k−$22
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes84683.8¢0¢$0−$709$0
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?No31497.7¢0¢$0−$307$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Yes132.5¢0¢$0−$0.43+$1,923

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?88¢30.4k$26.8k92%55Whale
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?90.6¢6,519$5,90692%55
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?98.3¢15.0k$14.7k92%55Whale
BUY YesWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?29.5¢120$3592%55
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?96¢43.0k$41.2k92%55Whale
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?88¢5,972$5,25592%55
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?19.2¢2,573$49492%55
BUY NoUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?92.2¢20.8k$19.2k92%55Whale
BUY YesWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?64.8¢11.6k$7,53692%55
BUY YesWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?61¢5$3.0592%55
SELL NoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?99.3¢21.8k$21.6k92%55Whale
BUY NoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?52.4¢4,453$2,33592%55
BUY NoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?52.4¢5,994$3,13892%55
BUY NoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?48.9¢3,325$1,62692%55
BUY NoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?49.6¢1,704$84592%55
BUY NoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?49.9¢6,307$3,14592%55
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?96.4¢7,432$7,16792%55
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?97.9¢9,602$9,40092%55
BUY YesWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?96.1¢30$2992%55
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?75.7¢7,000$5,29892%55