sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #5,775

lakatosnapoleon

0x795…ddbc
SharpWR 70+WR 60+1y+CryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$812vol $154k
PnL 30d+$108gains $444 · losses $163
PnL 7d−$38win rate 7d 90.5%
Win rate74.0%adj 73.1% · 30d 88.3%
Open value$7,780cash n/a
Positions143 / 964open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.9%of equity peak
Account age2.4ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$834below peak −$104Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale42
Adjusted win rateraw 74.0% · shrunk toward 50%83
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Fhenix launch a token by December 31, 2026?No22580.3¢85¢$192+$11+$9.70
Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?No18193¢93.9¢$170+$1.57$0
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch?No15091.9¢90¢$135−$2.88−$4.14
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No14593.1¢91.5¢$133−$2.38$0
Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027?No14686.7¢90.4¢$132+$5.39+$0.59
Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?No13786.4¢86¢$118−$0.56−$0.19
Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch?No12095.2¢98.1¢$118+$3.45−$0.58
SlingshotDAO FDV above $500M one day after launch?No11695¢98.2¢$114+$3.69$0
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?No11995.7¢94.9¢$113−$0.96+$0.75
Ethereum tapered issuance burn implemented by December 31, 2027?No14576.6¢77.5¢$112+$1.34−$0.81
APYX FDV above $500M one day after launch?No12391.8¢91¢$112−$1.04$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No12065.1¢91¢$109+$31+$130
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?No11390.2¢88.6¢$100−$1.73+$1.14
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?No12189.3¢81.5¢$98−$9.45+$0.55
Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No10096.2¢96.2¢$96$0+$0.27
Will Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No10296.5¢92.5¢$94−$4.13+$2.17
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?No10291.9¢92¢$94+$0.12+$0.07
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No10392.2¢90.5¢$93−$1.74$0
Linera FDV above $800M one day after launch?No9894¢93.4¢$91−$0.62$0
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?No10254.8¢89¢$91+$35+$26
Will Ethereum hit $6k by March 31, 2027?No9491.6¢94.4¢$89+$2.63+$0.21
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No9090.9¢97.1¢$87+$5.49$0
Noble FDV above $1B one day after launch?No9094.9¢96.4¢$86+$1.34+$0.99
Will Veda launch a token by June 30, 2027?No13067.1¢66¢$86−$1.43+$1.75
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?No9987.1¢84.5¢$84−$2.54+$2.38
SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch?No9388.9¢87.5¢$81−$1.27+$2.47
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No8581.1¢96¢$81+$13+$16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 50% or more?No8392¢94.4¢$78+$1.99+$2.07
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in October?No7996.7¢97.3¢$77+$0.41$0
Ethereal FDV above $800M one day after launch?No8096.8¢95.6¢$77−$0.98$0
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No8393.6¢91.5¢$76−$1.82+$0.53
Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch?No9085.4¢83.5¢$75−$1.74+$0.02
Ethereal FDV above $1B one day after launch?No7793.8¢97¢$75+$2.49+$0.14
SlingshotDAO FDV above $300M one day after launch?No7592.9¢97.6¢$73+$3.51$0
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch?No8188.4¢88.1¢$72−$0.25−$7.68
Will Catena launch a token by December 31, 2026?No11282.6¢63.5¢$71−$21+$12
Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?No7395.8¢95.4¢$70−$0.31$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 25%-30%?No8388.3¢82¢$68−$5.27−$1.69
Will Codex launch a token by December 31, 2026?No8081.7¢85¢$68+$2.64$0
Will Logan Paul return to the WWE ring before October 31, 2026?No7191.5¢95.4¢$68+$2.74$0
Will Zcash dip to $300 by December 31, 2026?No7193.7¢95¢$67+$0.92$0
Linera FDV above $1B one day after launch?No7196¢94.8¢$67−$0.88+$1.86
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No7081.7¢95.4¢$67+$9.58+$7.66
Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?No8292.3¢81.2¢$67−$9.19$0
Linera FDV above $700M one day after launch?No7094¢93.9¢$66−$0.10+$1.13
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?No6796.5¢96.1¢$64−$0.33+$0.61
Relay FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?No7092.6¢91¢$63−$1.15$0
Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2026?No6884.5¢89.5¢$61+$3.42$0
Multipli.fi FDV above $1B one day after launch?No6296.8¢96.6¢$60−$0.14+$0.34
Saturn FDV above $700M one day after launchNo6292.6¢95.7¢$59+$1.91$0
Decibel FDV above $800M one day after launch?No6294.1¢95.1¢$59+$0.63$0
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?No6879.9¢86.5¢$59+$4.46+$1.95
Fuse FDV above $10B one day after launch?No6193.2¢95.5¢$58+$1.40$0
3Jane FDV above $800M one day after launch?No6189.5¢93.5¢$57+$2.44$0
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No6092.9¢94.1¢$56+$0.68+$25
Beezie FDV above $500M one day after launch?No6294¢91¢$56−$1.86$0
Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch?No6096.8¢93.4¢$56−$2.10+$7.78
Linera FDV above $600M one day after launch?No5893¢95.4¢$56+$1.42$0
Perena FDV above $500M one day after launch?No6092.1¢91.9¢$55−$0.13$0
GMGN FDV above $1B one day after launchNo6189.2¢89.5¢$55+$0.20$0
Saturn FDV above $500M one day after launchNo5992.7¢91.5¢$54−$0.68+$0.49
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-01 House election by 70%-75%?No6385.3¢85.5¢$54+$0.07$0
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026?No6287¢86¢$53−$0.62$0
Will Sui reach $3.00 before 2027?No5793.5¢91¢$52−$1.42$0
Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?No6091.2¢82.6¢$50−$5.16$0
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No5194.4¢94.1¢$48−$0.15+$0.03
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?No5093.5¢95.5¢$48+$1.00+$23
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No5187.1¢93.5¢$48+$3.26+$1.54
Hotstuff FDV above $500M one day after launch?No5190¢91.5¢$47+$0.75−$0.09
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by October 30, 2026?No4898¢97.1¢$46−$0.43$0
Decibel FDV above $500M one day after launch?No5190.4¢89.5¢$45−$0.45$0
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?No4989¢91.9¢$45+$1.40+$0.03
Will Ethereal launch a token by December 31, 2026?No5089.8¢88.5¢$44−$0.65+$0.22
Neutrl FDV above $700M one day after launch?No4596.8¢98¢$44+$0.56+$0.21
Saturn FDV above $800M one day after launchNo4393.5¢97.4¢$42+$1.68+$0.63
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.50 in October?No4396.5¢97.2¢$42+$0.30$0
Tuyo FDV above $700M one day after launch?No5189.6¢80.5¢$41−$4.65$0
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?No4492¢94.5¢$41+$1.09$0
Will Pluralis launch a token by December 31, 2026?No5078¢81¢$41+$1.50$0
Valantis FDV above $500M one day after launch?No4290.1¢91.6¢$38+$0.60$0
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026?No4975.8¢77.5¢$38+$0.82$0
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by March 31, 2027?No4388.7¢88¢$38−$0.29+$1.29
Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?No4091.4¢92.8¢$37+$0.55$0
Will Sui reach $2.50 before 2027?No4290.5¢87.5¢$37−$1.26$0
Tori FDV above $1B one day after launch?No4191.5¢90.5¢$37−$0.41+$0.27
City Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?No4976.5¢75.5¢$37−$0.51+$1.50
Will Pluralis launch a token by March 31, 2027?No5070¢71.5¢$36+$0.75$0
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?No3696.9¢97.2¢$35+$0.10$0
Will Catena launch a token by March 31, 2027?No6270.6¢55¢$34−$9.66+$5.46
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch?No3595.8¢95.8¢$34$0$0
Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027?No3686¢91.5¢$33+$1.97+$1.05
Tori FDV above $700M one day after launch?No3692¢91.5¢$33−$0.18$0
Noble FDV above $700M one day after launch?No3590.9¢93.5¢$33+$0.89+$0.99
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?No4179.3¢79.6¢$33+$0.11$0
Will Veda launch a token by December 31, 2026?No3791.8¢88¢$33−$1.42+$0.58
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?No3395.3¢95¢$31−$0.10$0
Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026?No16091.9¢19.3¢$31−$116+$2.05
Printr FDV above $800M one day after launch?No3294.9¢95.3¢$31+$0.12−$1.41
StripChain FDV above $500M one day after launch?No3196.9¢98.3¢$30+$0.43+$0.56
Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch?No3198.2¢97.8¢$30−$0.12−$0.58

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be less than 900,000?94.6¢40$3874%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Sui dip to $0.20 before 2027?94¢3$2.9574%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Veda launch a token by June 30, 2027?69¢8$5.5274%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Veda launch a token by June 30, 2027?67¢30$2074%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?95.8¢19$1874%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?91¢24$2274%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?96.4¢56$5474%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026?76¢40$3074%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?97.4¢40$3974%72Sharp
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 50% or more?93¢21$2074%72Sharp
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 50% or more?92¢20$1874%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?92.3¢16$1574%72Sharp
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 85% or more?94.7¢11$9.9774%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Prime Intellect launch a token by March 31, 2027?91¢11$9.5674%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Fhenix launch a token by December 31, 2026?84¢31$2674%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Fhenix launch a token by December 31, 2026?82¢30$2574%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in October?97.2¢17$1774%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in October?97.2¢31$3074%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?92¢31$2974%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?91.2¢10$9.1274%72Sharp