sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,813

Retarts

0x79c…105a
1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$552vol $30.0k
PnL 30d+$87gains $17 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$78win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.4%adj 54.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,063cash n/a
Positions34 / 150open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.4%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,184below peak −$7.74Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale39
Adjusted win rateraw 55.4% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Noopen+$132Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more? · Noclosed+$126Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yesopen+$125Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? · Yesopen+$76Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yesopen+$54

Worst markets

Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday? · Noclosed−$20Nothing Ever Happens: February · Nothingclosed−$14Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yesopen−$9.71Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · Yesclosed−$8.75Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on February 16? · Yesclosed−$5.79

Open positions · 34

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%?No25681.7¢81.5¢$209−$0.41+$11
Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No1420¢93.1¢$132+$132$0
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes21851¢47.5¢$103−$7.55+$133
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes21232.8¢48.5¢$103+$33+$20
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes16841.1¢61¢$103+$33+$17
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Yes14635.8¢40¢$58+$6.11+$70
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?Yes31521.4¢17¢$54−$14+$14
Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?No7078¢70¢$49−$5.60$0
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?Yes11420.5¢32¢$36+$13+$3.45
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?Yes13028.7¢26¢$34−$3.50$0
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes8334¢38¢$32+$3.30+$42
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No4037.5¢72.5¢$29+$14$0
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes5945¢46¢$27+$0.59$0
Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No1789¢99.5¢$17+$1.79+$0.81
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No2088¢74¢$15−$2.80+$1.31
Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes3431.1¢32¢$11+$0.32−$3.47
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes2040.4¢54.5¢$11+$2.82+$2.87
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes902.6¢9.2¢$8.19+$5.86$0
Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes2015.9¢34.4¢$6.87+$3.69$0
Will ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand?No1353¢49¢$6.21−$0.51$0
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + Maori?No590.9¢99.9¢$4.99+$0.45$0
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?Yes4811¢7¢$3.33−$1.88$0
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori + NZF?Yes5760.7¢0.5¢$2.59−$1.39$0
Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes3810¢0.6¢$2.29+$2.29$0
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes824.8¢20¢$1.61−$0.39−$9.33
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF?Yes1410.5¢0.8¢$1.05+$0.41$0
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + Labour?Yes1730.2¢0.6¢$1.04+$0.69$0
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT?Yes1643.2¢0.5¢$0.82−$4.46$0
Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes142¢5.6¢$0.78+$0.50$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes59¢4.3¢$0.21−$0.24$0
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes100.3¢0¢$0−$0.03$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No714¢0¢$0−$1.00−$4.52
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?No249¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes259¢0¢$0−$1.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%?90.4¢35$3255%59
BUY YesWill Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?47¢76$3655%59
SELL YesWill National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?59¢30$1855%59
SELL YesWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?53¢29$1555%59
SELL YesWill Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?45¢40$1855%59
BUY NoWill Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?74¢40$3055%59
BUY YesWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?38¢40$1555%59
SELL NoWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?62¢30$1955%59
SELL NoWill National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?48¢10$4.6155%59
SELL YesChristopher Luxon out by September 30?2.1¢120$2.5455%59
BUY YesWill Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?37¢92$3455%59
BUY YesWill National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?25¢50$1355%59
SELL NoWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?53.5¢88$4755%59
BUY NoWill Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?83¢20$1755%59
BUY YesWill Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?22¢40$8.8055%59
BUY NoWill Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?84¢10$8.4055%59
SELL NoWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?78.5¢42$3355%59
SELL YesWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?43.4¢649$28255%59
SELL YesWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?45¢20$9.0055%59
BUY YesWill the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?40¢48$1955%59