sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,707

skibabiba

0x79d…baec
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$13.3kvol $1.03M
PnL 30d+$11.4kgains $8,295 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$222win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate90.6%adj 84.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$159kcash n/a
Positions39 / 145open / all-time
Max drawdown−70.4%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 28d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$15.0kbelow peak −$30.2kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 90.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d6
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity30

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 39

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes30.0k66¢57.5¢$17.2k−$2,549$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes15.6k83¢90.5¢$14.1k+$1,172$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No15.0k73.6¢87.5¢$13.1k+$2,085$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No13.3k75.9¢83.5¢$11.1k+$1,007$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No9,60077.5¢94.5¢$9,072+$1,630$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No9,31588.8¢94¢$8,756+$486$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No9,40079.6¢88.5¢$8,319+$833$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes9,00079.7¢71.3¢$6,417−$756$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No5,80087¢97.2¢$5,635+$589$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No5,50091¢99.8¢$5,489+$484$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes5,70088.2¢96¢$5,472+$445$0
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No6,00089¢86¢$5,160−$180$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No6,00085¢84.5¢$5,070−$30$0
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes6,00085¢83.5¢$5,010−$90$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes6,00083¢77.5¢$4,650−$330$0
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No4,40071¢90.5¢$3,982+$858$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes7,00061¢56.5¢$3,955−$315$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No3,85078¢94.5¢$3,638+$635$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No3,80082¢90¢$3,420+$304$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No3,80070¢85.5¢$3,249+$589$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes4,20084¢76.5¢$3,213−$315$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No3,0000¢95¢$2,849+$2,849$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No2,57078¢96.2¢$2,471+$466$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No2,30088¢97.8¢$2,248+$224$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes3,00084.6¢48.7¢$1,461−$1,077$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No1,60064¢70.5¢$1,128+$104$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No1,20090¢87.5¢$1,050−$30$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes7,00062¢11¢$770−$3,570$0
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes3,80079.5¢15.5¢$589−$2,432$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No14.3k85.5¢0¢$0−$12.2k$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No9,00075¢0¢$0−$6,750$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No8,50061¢0¢$0−$5,185−$101
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No8,30061¢0¢$0−$5,063−$1.95
Fed rate hike in 2026?No8,30060¢0¢$0−$4,980−$11
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No7,80091¢0¢$0−$7,098−$4.38
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes7,00070.1¢0¢$0−$4,910−$1,729
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?No4,00063¢0¢$0−$2,520−$9.41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes4,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No4,00066¢0¢$0−$2,640$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?61¢114$7091%56
BUY YesWill The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?85¢1,447$1,23091%56
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?85¢6,000$5,10091%56
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?84¢2,011$1,68991%56
BUY NoWill Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?89¢3,587$3,19291%56
BUY NoMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?82¢52$4391%56
BUY YesAnthropic IPO before 2027?83¢4,292$3,56291%56
BUY YesWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?87.2¢1,056$92091%56
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?63¢577$36491%56
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?61¢8,500$5,18591%56
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?93¢1,768$1,64591%56
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?73¢715$52291%56
BUY NoWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?59.7¢46$2791%56
BUY NoIran leadership change by December 31?81¢2,398$1,94391%56
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?96.5¢10.3k$9,96491%56
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by September 30?77¢3,946$3,03891%56
BUY NoWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?65¢4,091$2,65991%56
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?85¢1,255$1,06791%56
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?87¢3,000$2,61091%56
BUY NoWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?92¢205$18991%56