PnL all-time+$1.14vol $21.4k
PnL 30d+$0.04gains $0 · losses $2.16
PnL 7d+$0.04win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.8%adj 52.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$221cash n/a
Positions5 / 61open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.9%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$6.02below peak −$5.55Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale1
Adjusted win rateraw 53.8% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | No | 202 | 98.9¢ | 98.9¢ | $200 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 21 | 95.4¢ | 96.8¢ | $20 | +$0.28 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 4 | 25¢ | 21.5¢ | $0.86 | −$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May? | No | 3 | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May? | No | 1 | 72¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.01 |
Recent trades
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