PnL all-time+$18.3kvol $1.05M
PnL 30d+$17.1kgains $19.9k · losses $0
PnL 7d+$201win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate81.0%adj 65.9% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$81.7kcash n/a
Positions7 / 28open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 15d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$18.0kbelow peak −$2,217Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 81.0% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d48
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$19.1kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$5,914Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$4,522Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$2,940No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$2,091
Worst markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$9,844Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? · Noopen−$4,034MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$3,055US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · Noclosed−$2,435Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yesopen−$1,155
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 40.0k | 99.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $39.8k | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 35.9k | 85¢ | 84.5¢ | $30.3k | −$179 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 16.2k | 78.4¢ | 71.3¢ | $11.6k | −$1,155 | $0 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,472 | 88¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,055 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 2,253 | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,712 | −$2,322 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | No | 520 | 62¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$322 | $0 | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 78 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51 | −$0.87 |
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