sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,009

Gambler1968

0x7a6…af24
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$203kvol $5.13M
PnL 30d−$2,641gains $34.8k · losses $84.7k
PnL 7d−$3,219win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.6%adj 50.6% · 30d 18.0%
Open value$39.3kcash n/a
Positions39 / 1,810open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.0%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 9mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$225kbelow peak −$13.0kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 50.6% · shrunk toward 50%27
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yesclosed+$8,078Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? · Noclosed+$4,622Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? · Noclosed+$4,532StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Noopen+$4,136Iran leadership change by April 30? · Noclosed+$4,013

Worst markets

Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North? · Noclosed−$5,000US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · Noclosed−$3,257Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$2,237Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? · Noclosed−$2,142Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$1,916

Open positions · 39

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Iran leadership change by December 31?No6,02830¢89.5¢$5,395+$3,587$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No5,68950.1¢84.9¢$4,827+$1,977+$1,138
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No5,34911.7¢89¢$4,761+$4,136$0
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027No3,40641¢100¢$3,406+$2,010$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No3,00637¢95¢$2,856+$1,743$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes3,21428¢82¢$2,635+$1,736$0
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No2,64532¢95.5¢$2,526+$1,680$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No2,46634.1¢99.6¢$2,455+$1,614$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No2,51525¢92.5¢$2,326+$1,697$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,65125¢84.5¢$2,240+$1,577$0
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No97076.2¢100¢$969+$230$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No93429¢96¢$896+$625$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No1,02425¢71¢$727+$471$0
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?No48943¢96.8¢$473+$263$0
Remote IPO before 2027?No49143¢96.2¢$472+$261$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes56229¢72¢$404+$241$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes39242¢92.5¢$363+$198$0
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?No34437¢96.5¢$332+$205$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No30440¢84.5¢$257+$135$0
Discord IPO before 2027?Yes2,17029.3¢9.2¢$200−$436$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8893¢2.8¢$189−$17$0
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No20833¢87¢$181+$112$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No96214.3¢14.2¢$136−$1.44$0
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,7410.3¢2.4¢$135+$118+$0.16
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No38818¢17.5¢$68−$1.94$0
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes14.8k0.3¢0.2¢$22−$22+$0.06
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No1851¢97.8¢$18+$8.58$0
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes11.7k0.3¢0.2¢$18−$18−$1.25
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes9,8820.3¢0.2¢$15−$15−$1.17
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes2481.1¢5.3¢$13+$10$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Yes837¢91.5¢$7.23+$4.31$0
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?No603¢11.6¢$7.00+$5.19$0
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes11.6k0.3¢0.1¢$5.82−$29+$536
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,0002¢0.1¢$5.00−$95$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1124¢35.5¢$3.97+$1.28$0
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,5370.3¢0.1¢$2.27−$11+$0.06
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No3,16219¢0¢$0−$601$0
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes6781.1¢0¢$0−$7.46$0
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No56029¢0¢$0−$162$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?0.1¢2,000$2.0051%56
SELL YesWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?0.1¢1,773$1.7751%56
SELL YesWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?0.1¢5,400$5.4051%56
SELL YesWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?0.1¢4,623$4.6251%56
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?99.6¢4,532$4,51451%56
SELL NoWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?91¢3,304$3,00651%56
SELL NoWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?7.8¢114$8.8951%56
SELL YesWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.9¢234$2.1151%56
SELL YesWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.5¢208$1.0451%56
SELL YesWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.6¢234$1.4151%56
SELL YesWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.8¢234$1.8751%56
SELL YesWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.9¢34$0.3151%56
SELL YesWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.1¢234$2.5851%56
SELL YesWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.1¢234$2.5851%56
SELL YesWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.1¢99$1.0951%56
SELL YesWill Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.1¢234$2.5851%56
SELL YesWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.1¢234$2.5851%56
SELL YesWill Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.2¢34$0.4151%56
SELL YesWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.2¢234$2.8151%56
SELL YesWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.3¢44$0.5851%56