sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

henos

0x7a8…f8e8
1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,579vol $701k
PnL 30d+$1,050gains $2,867 · losses $620
PnL 7d+$722win rate 7d 84.0%
Win rate59.8%adj 59.3% · 30d 68.7%
Open value$3,099cash n/a
Positions74 / 490open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.9%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,807below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 59.8% · shrunk toward 50%48
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 7 2026? · Noclosed+$1,096Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? · Noclosed+$649Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 5 2026? · Noclosed+$516Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? · Noclosed+$428Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Noclosed+$393

Worst markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yesclosed−$481Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · Noopen−$385Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · Noopen−$345Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$322Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026? · Noclosed−$297

Open positions · 74

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No1,00079.8¢78.5¢$785−$13$0
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes1,27436.3¢35¢$446−$17−$51
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes1,63818.1¢18¢$295−$1.11+$29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 12 2026?No77530.6¢34¢$263+$27$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No97924¢23.5¢$230−$5.18+$18
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Yes84925.1¢25.5¢$217+$2.98+$2.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 12 2026?No20083.4¢88¢$176+$9.20$0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No84819.8¢18.5¢$157−$11$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?No70116.7¢19.5¢$137+$20+$61
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes1,0667.5¢5¢$53−$26−$23
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?No20025.5¢24.5¢$49−$2.00$0
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Yes62416.5¢7.5¢$47−$56−$265
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No13422.7¢30.5¢$41+$10+$2.02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No5074.8¢80.5¢$40+$2.86+$78
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes6028.3¢5.5¢$33−$17−$3.93
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Yes4773.6¢4.2¢$20+$2.66+$0.08
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?No2079¢98.1¢$20+$3.82$0
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes2756.8¢4.5¢$12−$6.19+$6.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Yes7824.4¢15.5¢$12−$6.91−$9.66
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes2524.3¢3.8¢$9.46−$1.49+$19
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Yes5252.7¢1.5¢$7.87−$6.34+$4.75
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2036¢36.5¢$7.21+$0.10$0
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.25T in 2026?No209¢32¢$6.40+$4.60$0
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6440.8¢1¢$6.12+$0.75+$5.83
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No782¢86.5¢$5.98+$0.31+$0.30
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7001¢0.9¢$5.95−$1.05$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes1624.3¢3.3¢$5.27−$1.63+$8.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Yes5011¢6.5¢$3.25−$2.25$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2291.7¢1.4¢$3.09−$0.85$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Yes178¢10.5¢$1.81+$0.43−$1.90
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Yes262¢80.5¢$1.60+$0.37+$131
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes492.1¢2.6¢$1.26+$0.23+$1.00
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?No515¢24¢$1.20+$0.45+$1.75
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes183.9¢1.1¢$0.20−$0.50−$4.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.40
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?No1,41232¢0¢$0−$452+$67
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No9056.3¢0¢$0−$57−$288
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July?Yes5460.2¢0¢$0−$1.09−$0.01
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in July?Yes5160.2¢0¢$0−$1.03−$0.02
Will annual inflation be 4.2% or more in July?Yes5040.2¢0¢$0−$1.01−$0.02
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?No4006.2¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?Yes3660.2¢0¢$0−$0.73+$1.90
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes2500.1¢0¢$0−$0.25+$4.46
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in July?No24010.9¢0¢$0−$26$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 9?Down22332.5¢0¢$0−$72−$3.61
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July?Yes1820.4¢0¢$0−$0.80+$1.39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 5 2026?Yes9521.4¢0¢$0−$20−$29
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?Up6761.3¢0¢$0−$41−$49
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?Yes653¢0¢$0−$1.95$0
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?Yes451.1¢0¢$0−$0.49+$0.81
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?Yes4010¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.18
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?No4013¢0¢$0−$5.20$0
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?Yes301.3¢0¢$0−$0.39+$0.35
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes303.5¢0¢$0−$1.05−$0.05
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?No304.3¢0¢$0−$1.29$0
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?No288.2¢0¢$0−$2.31+$1.49
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No2074.1¢0¢$0−$15$0
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No2055¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes200.1¢0¢$0−$0.02+$40
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsYes138¢0¢$0−$1.04−$0.05
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?Yes1211¢0¢$0−$1.32$0
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No106¢0¢$0−$0.60$0
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsYes822¢0¢$0−$1.76−$0.07
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes59.2¢0¢$0−$0.46$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 25?Up536¢0¢$0−$1.80−$0.05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 16?Up510¢0¢$0−$0.50$0
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?Yes510¢0¢$0−$0.50$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?87.1¢210$18360%65
BUY YesWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?36¢150$5460%65
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 12 2026?24¢30$7.2060%65
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 12 2026?24¢200$4860%65
SELL NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?27¢30$8.1060%65
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?23¢512$11860%65
SELL NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?82.2¢411$33760%65
BUY YesWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?36¢188$6860%65
SELL NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?77.6¢123$9560%65
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?79¢140$11160%65
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?79¢44$3560%65
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?78.6¢171$13460%65
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?76¢432$32860%65
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?73¢120$8860%65
BUY UpWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 12?30¢40$1260%65
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?70¢74$5260%65
SELL NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?35¢732$25660%65
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?26¢7$1.7460%65
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?25¢10$2.5060%65
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?25.7¢74$1960%65