PnL all-time−$413vol $23.7k
PnL 30d+$18gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$35win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate20.0%adj 44.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,214cash n/a
Positions4 / 9open / all-time
Max drawdown−89.3%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$779below peak −$829Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
8/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 20.0% · shrunk toward 50%10
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable32
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity11
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$347Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$307Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yesopen−$135Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yesclosed−$123Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yesclosed−$99
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 750 | 83¢ | 90.5¢ | $679 | +$56 | $0 | |
| U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? | Yes | 300 | 82¢ | 100¢ | $300 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,389 | 36¢ | 15.5¢ | $215 | −$285 | −$22 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 650 | 24¢ | 3.3¢ | $21 | −$135 | $0 |
Recent trades
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