sharpside
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nicoco89

0x7ac…77cd@nicoco89poly
SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$120kvol $4.58M
PnL 30d−$1,227gains $7,893 · losses $186
PnL 7d+$282win rate 7d 87.5%
Win rate64.0%adj 63.5% · 30d 89.7%
Open value$37.1kcash n/a
Positions158 / 2,246open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.4%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 16d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$123kbelow peak −$5,333Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

71/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 64.0% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d44
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes4,04988.2¢96.2¢$3,894+$322+$266
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Yes3,61886.2¢97.9¢$3,540+$422+$4.34
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No1,88790.4¢95.5¢$1,802+$96$0
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes2,79580¢62¢$1,733−$504+$10
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?No1,78887.2¢94.5¢$1,690+$130+$239
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?No1,62490.5¢99.8¢$1,621+$151−$12
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No1,36191.1¢96.7¢$1,316+$76+$192
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,35215.4¢21.5¢$1,151+$327+$717
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes1,10876.7¢83.5¢$925+$76+$73
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes91743.4¢93.5¢$857+$460−$102
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?No93960.1¢91¢$855+$291+$434
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No82290.1¢100¢$821+$81+$426
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Yes85859.8¢95.5¢$819+$306+$8.39
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?Yes70292.4¢96.6¢$678+$29−$221
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat?Yes69190¢96.4¢$666+$44$0
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes66673.8¢96¢$639+$148+$13
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1,14459.6¢47.5¢$543−$138+$126
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?Yes52589.8¢98.3¢$516+$44+$107
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No61155.2¢84.1¢$514+$176+$97
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No52596.6¢95.8¢$503−$4.25+$1.43
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?Yes48290.9¢98.2¢$473+$35+$17
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?Yes48292.4¢96.7¢$467+$21−$206
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Yes46082.1¢97.8¢$450+$72$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?Yes43992.2¢96.8¢$425+$20+$16
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?Yes1,41121.3¢28¢$395+$95+$24
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No39098¢96.1¢$375−$7.72$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No38790.3¢94.9¢$367+$18+$36
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?Yes37690.9¢95.5¢$359+$17$0
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No36296¢96.7¢$350+$2.72+$1.74
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes43165.3¢80.5¢$347+$66+$93
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No50034.1¢68.5¢$343+$172+$198
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No34797.6¢96.5¢$335−$3.78−$1.06
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No34194.4¢95.9¢$327+$5.22+$12
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?Yes32391¢98.6¢$318+$24+$41
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No33195¢95.6¢$316+$1.95+$6.50
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes30082.1¢95.8¢$287+$41+$144
Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?No29693.6¢96.5¢$285+$8.30−$46
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Yes40079.6¢71¢$284−$34−$28
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?Yes28890.6¢95¢$273+$13+$29
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes3357.4¢78.5¢$263+$238$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes35755¢70.5¢$252+$55$0
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No25495¢95.2¢$242+$0.58+$1.50
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No22996.5¢98.6¢$226+$4.61+$14
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No23384.4¢95.4¢$222+$26+$59
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No32064.4¢67.5¢$216+$9.80$0
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No21897.3¢96.6¢$211−$1.73+$4.23
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes27064.7¢76¢$205+$30$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes9398.2¢21¢$197+$120+$78
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?Yes20092¢95.9¢$192+$7.70+$20
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No18798.2¢95.4¢$178−$5.37+$0.53
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No16993.4¢96.1¢$163+$4.55+$7.10
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes39921.6¢35¢$140+$54+$216
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?No20073¢65¢$130−$16$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?No14864.4¢77¢$114+$19−$24
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No5487.7¢20.5¢$113+$71+$15
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes7,1192.1¢1.6¢$110−$41$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No40025.6¢27.5¢$110+$7.74+$37
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes1,55358.8¢6.5¢$101−$813+$94
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No10065¢94.5¢$95+$30$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10726¢87¢$93+$65+$3,564
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes19154¢47.5¢$91−$12$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes27137¢32.5¢$88−$12$0
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No8697.7¢95.5¢$82−$1.94+$0.45
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes21512¢37.5¢$81+$55$0
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?No8485¢96.1¢$80+$9.30$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?Yes7992.2¢96.7¢$76+$3.47+$26
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2,9253.3¢2.1¢$60−$37+$138
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes5856.8¢95.7¢$55+$22$0
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?No40813.9¢13.5¢$55−$1.64$0
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,00010.3¢5.5¢$55−$48$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No20030¢27.5¢$55−$5.00+$6.46
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No5751¢96.8¢$55+$26$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes20016¢26.5¢$53+$21$0
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4,5073.1¢1.2¢$52−$87+$195
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No5036¢94¢$47+$29+$8.95
California Immunology Research Bond PropositionYes8153.9¢57.5¢$46+$2.92$0
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?No4880.4¢92¢$44+$5.56−$14
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,2572.6¢3.5¢$43+$11$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes34636¢12.5¢$43−$81$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?Yes4471.5¢91.5¢$41+$8.87+$4.17
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No2007¢17.5¢$35+$21$0
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No3079¢96.3¢$29+$5.25+$0.03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No5761.6¢48.4¢$28−$7.54$0
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4,91720.5¢0.5¢$27−$983+$26
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes3872.6¢71.5¢$27−$0.42$0
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No2294¢98.9¢$21+$1.05+$6.87
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes41.3k0.7¢0.1¢$21−$281+$0.94
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No2094¢95.5¢$19+$0.29$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes5033¢30.5¢$15−$1.25+$17
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No1586.4¢98.7¢$15+$1.81$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes5048¢28.5¢$14−$9.75$0
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes20011¢7¢$14−$8.10$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes6030.6¢22.5¢$14−$4.87+$6.57
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes20017¢6.7¢$13−$21$0
Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes1,6521¢0.7¢$12−$4.74$0
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?Yes33032¢3.5¢$12−$94$0
Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes15548¢6.4¢$9.84−$65$0
Will Trump Airport become law this year?Yes36548.3¢2.4¢$8.76−$167$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes862¢90.5¢$7.58+$2.39+$2.82
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?No2743.6¢2.7¢$7.27−$2.66+$1.41

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?7¢55$3.8564%71Sharp
SELL YesWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?66¢295$19564%71Sharp
SELL YesWill Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?83.3¢696$58064%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?78¢696$54364%71Sharp
SELL YesWill Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?81.5¢283$23064%71Sharp
BUY YesWill the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?26.9¢898$24264%71Sharp
SELL YesWill Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?9.7¢125$1264%71Sharp
SELL YesWill Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?99¢751$74364%71Sharp
SELL NoWill Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?99¢1,212$1,20064%71Sharp
SELL NoWill Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?68.6¢462$31764%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?88.2¢7,626$6,72464%71Sharp
SELL YesWill Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?0.7¢234$1.6664%71Sharp
SELL YesWill William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?96.2¢741$71364%71Sharp
SELL YesWill Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?94.1¢94$8864%71Sharp
SELL NoWill Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?37¢650$24064%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?13.9¢1,147$16064%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?68.7¢1,433$98564%71Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?65.3¢1,339$87464%71Sharp
SELL NoWill Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?47.2¢1,550$73164%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?23.8¢3,307$78764%71Sharp