sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

ahhdumbo

0x7b2…0d60
PoliticsCultureOtherWeatherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,767vol $337k
PnL 30d+$65gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$55win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.6%adj 57.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$4,072cash n/a
Positions44 / 328open / all-time
Max drawdown−84.6%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,822below peak −$93Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 57.6% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity15

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026? · Yesclosed+$881Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$776Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League? · Yesclosed+$703Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January? · Yesclosed+$439Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? · Noopen+$395

Worst markets

Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026? · Noclosed−$591Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? · Noclosed−$561Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during events with Rutte? · Yesopen−$521Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%? · Noclosed−$516Will Artemis II launch by February 28? · Yesclosed−$409

Open positions · 44

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No1,23881¢95¢$1,176+$173$0
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No1,04062¢100¢$1,040+$395$0
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?Yes53628.3¢100¢$536+$384$0
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No47170¢81.5¢$384+$54+$8.96
Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina CatamountsWestern Carolina Catamounts76448¢50¢$382+$15$0
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois PanthersEastern Illinois Panthers19074.9¢100¢$190+$48$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes94636¢17.5¢$166−$175−$0.26
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Yes16344¢100¢$163+$91−$8.40
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes2485.7¢100¢$24+$3.43+$34
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No785¢100¢$6.66+$1.00+$2.76
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes542¢63.5¢$3.17+$1.07$0
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes2229¢10¢$2.20−$4.18−$1.45
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?Yes415¢4¢$0.16−$0.44−$4.38
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?No1,27413.1¢0¢$0−$167$0
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5Over93838.1¢0¢$0−$357$0
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during events with Rutte?Yes89958¢0¢$0−$521$0
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar CardinalsEast Texas A&M Lions80610.8¢0¢$0−$87$0
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?Yes52143¢0¢$0−$224$0
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5Under46753¢0¢$0−$248$0
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes44814¢0¢$0−$63$0
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 6AM ETUp44450¢0¢$0−$222$0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Under42662¢0¢$0−$264$0
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No39980¢0¢$0−$319−$43
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 12AM ETUp36949¢0¢$0−$181$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 31 be less than 2,000,000?No31336¢0¢$0−$113$0
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)South Carolina State Bulldogs29488¢0¢$0−$259$0
Will "Ego Death At A Bachelorette Party - Hayley Williams" win Best Alternative Music Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes28653¢0¢$0−$152$0
Will Trump post "Lisa" this week on Truth Social?No24361¢0¢$0−$148$0
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?Yes22118¢0¢$0−$40$0
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central EaglesMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks15117¢0¢$0−$26$0
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 4AM ETUp15050¢0¢$0−$75$0
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown13251¢0¢$0−$67−$57
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Grambling State TigersGrambling State Tigers5989¢0¢$0−$53$0
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes504¢0¢$0−$2.00−$22
Will Retirement Plan win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes3316¢0¢$0−$5.28$0
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?No3017¢0¢$0−$5.10−$24
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?Yes2090¢0¢$0−$18−$30
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?Yes131.6¢0¢$0−$0.21−$0.90
US x Iran meeting by February 21, 2026?Yes121.4¢0¢$0−$0.17+$0.06
Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Yes927¢0¢$0−$2.43−$17
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Yes939¢0¢$0−$3.51−$0.26
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes213¢0¢$0−$0.29−$0.64
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes21.8¢0¢$0−$0.04−$0.27
Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?Yes141¢0¢$0−$0.41−$13

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?31¢622$19358%40
SELL NoWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?77¢1,445$1,11358%40
SELL NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?30.2¢256$7758%40
SELL NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?30.2¢597$18058%40
SELL NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?30.2¢302$9158%40
SELL NoWill Lovable be acquired before 2027?83¢1,015$84258%40
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?33.1¢1,155$38258%40
BUY NoWill Lovable be acquired before 2027?84¢1,015$85358%40
BUY NoWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?81¢1,238$1,00358%40
SELL NoWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?45.2¢597$27058%40
SELL NoWill CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?56¢1,218$68258%40
BUY NoWill Trump post "Lisa" this week on Truth Social?61¢243$14858%40
BUY NoWill CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?79¢1,218$96258%40
BUY NoWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?46¢597$27558%40
BUY NoWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?80¢1,844$1,47558%40
BUY NoWill USD.AI launch a token by April 30?13.1¢1,274$16758%40
SELL NoWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?20¢141$2858%40
SELL NoWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?68¢920$62658%40
BUY NoWill Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?62¢1,040$64558%40
BUY NoWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?20¢141$2858%40