PnL all-time−$15vol $23.6k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.8%adj 51.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$640cash n/a
Positions10 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.3%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$15below peak −$21Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 53.8% · shrunk toward 50%29
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope? · Noclosed+$4.59Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31? · Yesopen+$1.47Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Noclosed+$1.38Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? · Noopen+$1.15Will Gianluigi Donnarumma win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Noclosed+$1.13
Worst markets
Will @realDonaldTrump be suspended by Friday? · Yesopen−$6.02Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 20? · Yesopen−$4.55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 22? · Noopen−$3.52Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1? · Yesopen−$1.84Will Venstre win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? · Yesopen−$1.78
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31? | Yes | 380 | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $380 | +$1.47 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 260 | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $260 | +$1.15 | $0 | |
| Will Venstre win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | Yes | 543 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.78 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 22? | No | 485 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.52 | $0 | |
| Will @realDonaldTrump be suspended by Friday? | Yes | 437 | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.02 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 20? | Yes | 350 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.55 | $0 | |
| Will XRP reach $3.80 in October? | Yes | 337 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.45 | $0 | |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1? | Yes | 264 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.84 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on August 13? | Yes | 245 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.72 | $0 | |
| Will 'Wi$h Li$t' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th? | Yes | 122 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.08 | $0 |
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