PnL all-time+$279vol $6,477
PnL 30d+$94gains $123 · losses $143
PnL 7d+$16win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate84.6%adj 63.6% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$952cash n/a
Positions5 / 18open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.9%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$347below peak −$116Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale35
Adjusted win rateraw 84.6% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable42
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · Yesclosed+$142Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? · Noclosed+$123US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Noclosed+$58X banned in any European country by December 31? · Noopen+$52US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? · Noclosed+$33
Worst markets
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Noclosed−$143Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yesopen−$15Will Partido Popular win 34-36 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election? · Yesopen−$5.00Will Partido Popular win 31-33 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election? · Yesopen−$5.00Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yesclosed−$1.34
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 626 | 84.7¢ | 86.5¢ | $541 | +$11 | $0 | |
| X banned in any European country by December 31? | No | 467 | 76.9¢ | 88¢ | $411 | +$52 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s