PnL all-time−$12.5kvol $978k
PnL 30d+$6,095gains $0 · losses $3,370
PnL 7d−$584win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate56.3%adj 55.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$22.3kcash n/a
Positions5 / 131open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.7%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 6d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$8,382below peak −$1,263Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.3% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d79
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$14.4kWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Noclosed+$9,543Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yesopen+$3,993Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? · Yesclosed+$3,265US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? · Noclosed+$2,707
Worst markets
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election? · Yesclosed−$36.5kWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yesclosed−$4,260Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? · Yesclosed−$3,762Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? · Noclosed−$2,800Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? · Yesclosed−$2,019
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 26.7k | 42.9¢ | 57.9¢ | $15.4k | +$3,993 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 4,200 | 80.3¢ | 84.9¢ | $3,566 | +$193 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 60¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,875 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 37.7¢ | 30.5¢ | $915 | −$215 | $0 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 4,100 | 14¢ | 12.5¢ | $512 | −$61 | $0 |
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