PnL all-time+$35vol $8,253
PnL 30d−$42gains $40 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$46win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate47.4%adj 47.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$658cash n/a
Positions2 / 215open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.4%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 11d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$17below peak −$54Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale22
Adjusted win rateraw 47.4% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d63
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will 60 to 79 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026? · Noclosed+$40Will more than 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026? · Yesclosed+$35Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · Yesopen+$26Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Upclosed+$14Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yesclosed+$7.36
Worst markets
Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026? · Noopen−$45Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Noclosed−$17Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Downclosed−$15Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Upclosed−$9.00Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$7.69
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | Yes | 490 | 87.3¢ | 92.5¢ | $453 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026? | No | 253 | 99¢ | 81.3¢ | $205 | −$45 | $0 |
Recent trades
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