sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,504

memetal

0x7b8…a13e
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+WeatherPoliticsSportOtherCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,317vol $1.63M
PnL 30d+$411gains $1,352 · losses $216
PnL 7d+$377win rate 7d 92.9%
Win rate90.8%adj 89.2% · 30d 89.3%
Open value$1,132cash n/a
Positions75 / 2,982open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,917below peak −$2,055Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 90.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 75

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung LionsKT Wiz31196.4¢89.9¢$280−$20$0
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by October 31?No26574.1¢86.5¢$229+$33$0
Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?No11498.7¢100¢$114+$1.44$0
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?No11786¢88.5¢$104+$2.94$0
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?No10397.7¢99.3¢$103+$1.64$0
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No10398.1¢97.8¢$101−$0.36$0
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes8496.1¢99¢$83+$2.43$0
SpaceXAI announces a full training pause in 2026?No2494¢94.5¢$23+$0.12$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No2395.4¢96.3¢$22+$0.21$0
Senate control favorite on November 2?Democratic Party1189¢96.1¢$11+$0.79$0
Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?No1196.4¢93¢$11−$0.39$0
MLB Postseason: Will there be a no-hitter?No1193¢98.5¢$11+$0.59$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1662¢62.5¢$10+$0.08$0
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes7513.3¢8.5¢$6.38−$3.62$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1240.9¢51.7¢$6.31+$1.31$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes575¢83.5¢$4.45+$0.45$0
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes330¢42.5¢$1.42+$0.42$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?No272¢77.5¢$1.41+$0.10+$0.27
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes617.3¢24.3¢$1.40+$0.40$0
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No174.7¢83.1¢$1.11+$0.11$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes182.6¢88.6¢$1.07+$0.07$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No175.5¢77.9¢$1.03+$0.03$0
Will there be 2+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?No196¢99¢$1.03+$0.03$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No184¢84.5¢$1.02+$0.01$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No196¢97¢$1.01+$0.01$0
Will the Chicago Blackhawks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes2000.5¢0.4¢$0.70−$0.30$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes911¢6.5¢$0.59−$0.41$0
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?Yes813¢7.5¢$0.58−$0.42$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Yes264¢28.5¢$0.45−$0.55$0
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?Yes714¢6¢$0.43−$0.57$0
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes246.7¢17.5¢$0.38−$0.63−$545
Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes2270.4¢0.2¢$0.34−$0.66$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes189¢11¢$0.12−$0.88$0
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?No4050.2¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?No25579.6¢0¢$0−$203−$1.93
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?Yes2000.5¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes1901.6¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.13
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No12611.9¢0¢$0−$15−$0.24
Flames vs. KrakenFlames1001¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes911.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 20?No8875.1¢0¢$0−$66−$0.42
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes5650.5¢0¢$0−$28+$23
Will it rain in Miami, FL on August 26?No488.3¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.18
Will Charlotte, NC face tornado risk on September 4?Yes421¢0¢$0−$0.42−$0.02
Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by falling?No402.5¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer?Yes372.7¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will Trump say "Phone" during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes355.7¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.07
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?No3155.6¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Indianapolis, IN face tornado risk on August 26?Yes3020¢0¢$0−$6.00−$0.24
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?No2888¢0¢$0−$25−$0.12
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?No2717.1¢0¢$0−$4.69$0
Will MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?No254¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in September?No214.7¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes219.7¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No1759.9¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.16
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No1565.9¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes119.4¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 22?No1019.1¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.05
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?No109.7¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?No1010¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 1 and September 10, 2026?Yes812¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 16, 2026?No813¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?Yes743¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.07
Will Yeti say "International" 20+ times during earnings call?Yes715¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will XRP dip to $1.40 August 31-September 6?Yes52¢0¢$0−$0.10−$0.01
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes332¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?Yes241¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Maple Leafs vs. CanadiensMaple Leafs246¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)No250¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.02
Golden Knights vs. SharksSharks253¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.02
New York Mets vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians259¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETUp260¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown266¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.02
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?No180.9¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 25?No197¢0¢$0−$1.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Kia TigersKBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers99.3¢1,964$1,95091%46
BUY Kia TigersKBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers97.8¢206$20191%46
BUY Kia TigersKBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers99¢506$50191%46
BUY Kia TigersKBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers97.3¢104$10191%46
BUY NoWill Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?98.8¢40$4091%46
BUY YesWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.9¢502$50191%46
BUY YesWill Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?99¢16$1691%46
BUY YesWill Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?96.9¢104$10191%46
BUY NoWill Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?97¢104$10191%46
BUY NoWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?99.8¢250$25091%46
BUY NoWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?98.5¢41$4091%46
BUY YesWill HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?99.5¢101$10191%46
BUY NoWill Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?99.1¢102$10191%46
SELL YesWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?99.9¢208$20791%46
BUY NoWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?98.1¢103$10191%46
BUY YesWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?98¢75$7491%46
BUY YesWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?96.7¢104$10191%46
BUY KT WizKBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions96.8¢91$8891%46
BUY KT WizKBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions96.8¢104$10191%46
BUY KT WizKBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions96.4¢105$10191%46