| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 30.0k | 62.4¢ | 93.5¢ | $28.1k | +$9,341 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 20.0k | 77¢ | 84.5¢ | $16.9k | +$1,500 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 16.4k | 87¢ | 97.9¢ | $16.0k | +$1,777 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 17.6k | 21.3¢ | 80.5¢ | $14.1k | +$10.4k | +$12.5k | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 20.0k | 51.5¢ | 64.5¢ | $12.9k | +$2,600 | $0 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 11.2k | 75.3¢ | 95.6¢ | $10.7k | +$2,279 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 10.7k | 64.4¢ | 95.1¢ | $10.2k | +$3,288 | $0 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 9,319 | 70.2¢ | 96.1¢ | $8,956 | +$2,415 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 9,440 | 71.6¢ | 84.9¢ | $8,010 | +$1,251 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50.0k | 47.6¢ | 15.5¢ | $7,750 | −$16.0k | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 10.0k | 60¢ | 65.5¢ | $6,550 | +$550 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 10,000 | 71¢ | 64.5¢ | $6,450 | −$650 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 22.5k | 18.3¢ | 26.5¢ | $5,956 | +$1,846 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.6k | 37.3¢ | 48.6¢ | $5,141 | +$1,191 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5,000 | 65¢ | 94.5¢ | $4,725 | +$1,475 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 161k | 2.1¢ | 2.8¢ | $4,417 | +$1,030 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 10.0k | 50.4¢ | 43.7¢ | $4,370 | −$670 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 70.0k | 4¢ | 5.1¢ | $3,535 | +$754 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5,000 | 55¢ | 63.5¢ | $3,175 | +$425 | $0 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 3,000 | 80¢ | 97.9¢ | $2,936 | +$536 | $0 | |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 3,000 | 31¢ | 79¢ | $2,370 | +$1,440 | $0 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2,248 | 77.1¢ | 96.2¢ | $2,163 | +$430 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,321 | 60¢ | 66.5¢ | $1,543 | +$151 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 1,000 | 72¢ | 83¢ | $830 | +$110 | $0 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 1,000 | 74.1¢ | 80.6¢ | $806 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 3,000 | 13.6¢ | 26.5¢ | $795 | +$387 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 53.2¢ | 71.3¢ | $713 | +$181 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,925 | 20¢ | 21.5¢ | $629 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 10,000 | 8¢ | 5.5¢ | $550 | −$250 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 138k | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | $483 | −$643 | $0 | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 500 | 84.7¢ | 89.1¢ | $445 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 1,120 | 54¢ | 37¢ | $414 | −$190 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10,000 | 2.5¢ | 2.8¢ | $275 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 9,613 | 1.7¢ | 1.7¢ | $159 | −$4.81 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6,635 | 1.2¢ | 1.7¢ | $113 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 40 | 53.1¢ | 50¢ | $20 | −$1.21 | −$731 | |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025? | No | 125k | 46.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57.9k | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 60.0k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$750 | −$15 | |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | No | 44.0k | 48.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21.5k | $0 | |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 38.0k | 35.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13.4k | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 30.0k | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,500 | −$20 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 30.0k | 20.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,050 | $0 | |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 26.2k | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,075 | −$40 | |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 25.2k | 45¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11.3k | $0 | |
| US recession in 2025? | Yes | 23.7k | 58.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13.9k | −$4,673 | |
| Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025? | No | 22.6k | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,887 | $0 | |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? | No | 22.3k | 30.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,808 | −$170 | |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | No | 22.0k | 18.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,081 | −$44 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 20.0k | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$900 | $0 | |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 17.0k | 16.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,742 | $0 | |
| Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday? | No | 16.8k | 36.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,156 | $0 | |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 15.3k | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$452 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15.0k | 26.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,924 | −$1,039 | |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | No | 15.0k | 39.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,900 | −$38 | |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August? | No | 13.4k | 19.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,566 | $0 | |
| ICE shooter charged by March 31? | Yes | 13.0k | 26¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,380 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? | No | 11.4k | 34.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,936 | $0 | |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | No | 11.0k | 40.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,440 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 10.4k | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$574 | $0 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 10.2k | 28.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,874 | $0 | |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 10.0k | 87¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,700 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 10.0k | 63¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,300 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? | Yes | 10.0k | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$900 | $0 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? | No | 10,000 | 72¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,200 | $0 | |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | 9,826 | 62.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,157 | $0 | |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 9,314 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,375 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026? | No | 8,769 | 22.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,945 | $0 | |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | No | 7,447 | 26.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,003 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15? | No | 6,957 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,113 | $0 | |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 5,889 | 37.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,200 | −$27 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? | No | 5,659 | 55.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,140 | $0 | |
| Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | Yes | 5,000 | 12.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$625 | $0 | |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,500 | $0 | |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m? | Yes | 4,663 | 60.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,813 | $0 | |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 4,000 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$920 | $0 | |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday? | No | 3,020 | 61.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,870 | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Yes | 3,000 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$450 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 57¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,710 | $0 | |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | No | 3,000 | 50.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,520 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in US? | No | 2,723 | 11.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$308 | $0 | |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,000 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$800 | $0 | |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30? | No | 2,000 | 29.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$590 | $0 | |
| 30% EU tariff in effect by August 1? | Yes | 1,832 | 26.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$492 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025? | No | 1,552 | 65.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,016 | $0 | |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31? | No | 1,550 | 64.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$998 | $0 | |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | No | 1,500 | 61¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$915 | $0 | |
| Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | 1,317 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$184 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | Yes | 1,282 | 59.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$764 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 1,281 | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025? | No | 1,100 | 65.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$718 | $0 | |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August? | No | 1,093 | 44.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$486 | $0 | |
| Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in August? | Yes | 1,000 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$130 | $0 | |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August? | Yes | 1,000 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$130 | $0 | |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | Yes | 1,000 | 73¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$730 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%? | No | 1,000 | 68¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$680 | $0 | |
| Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards? | Yes | 1,000 | 72¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$720 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands? | No | 1,000 | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$115 | $0 | |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 63.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$637 | $0 | |
| Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani? | No | 300 | 68¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$204 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31? | No | 200 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | $0 | |
