sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,782

mazw8

0x7c3…7673
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+OtherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,591vol $888k
PnL 30d+$422gains $1,415 · losses $182
PnL 7d+$357win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate87.2%adj 85.8% · 30d 93.6%
Open value$65.5kcash n/a
Positions118 / 796open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 23h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,348below peak −$5,640Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 87.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US recession by end of 2026?No20.8k76.8¢93.5¢$19.4k+$3,475−$1,159
Trump out as President before 2027?No11.6k84.7¢95.9¢$11.1k+$1,291−$34
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No9,00090.3¢97.2¢$8,744+$614+$90
AI bubble burst in 2026?No7,18279.2¢94¢$6,748+$1,058+$346
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes4,68683.7¢94¢$4,405+$485$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes2,80080.6¢81.5¢$2,282+$26$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No2,29584.7¢95.2¢$2,184+$240+$19
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes2,18246.6¢76.5¢$1,669+$653+$14
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No1,70081.9¢95.8¢$1,628+$236$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes1,36149.7¢81.5¢$1,109+$433+$471
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?No1,00093.3¢95.6¢$956+$22$0
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes97647.9¢67.5¢$659+$191$0
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes64767.6¢95.1¢$615+$178$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes1,25054.6¢46.5¢$581−$101$0
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?No42254.9¢96.7¢$408+$176$0
Databricks IPO before 2027?No39878.5¢98.2¢$391+$78$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes46566.4¢76.5¢$355+$47$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No45075¢74.5¢$335−$2.46−$63
US recession by end of 2027?No48064.6¢67¢$322+$11$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No30087¢97.3¢$292+$31$0
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No30082.6¢94¢$282+$34+$12
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes30088¢90.5¢$272+$7.50$0
Will Shanghai Port win the 2026-27 AFC Champions League Elite?No22092.1¢96.4¢$212+$9.37$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes50019¢25.5¢$128+$33$0
Will Hong Kong have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?No10083¢99.5¢$100+$17$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No10090¢97¢$97+$6.95$0
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?No5098.5¢96.6¢$48−$0.93$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No5065¢85.5¢$43+$10$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes20065¢10.5¢$21−$109$0
Will Chengdu Rongcheng win Chinese Super League?Yes2094.3¢98.1¢$20+$0.77$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes50012.5¢3.7¢$19−$44+$4.41
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?Yes2088¢82¢$16−$1.20$0
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No1528¢97¢$15+$10$0
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?No1072¢96.2¢$9.62+$2.42$0
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?No891¢99¢$7.77+$0.62$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes60022.5¢1.1¢$6.30−$129$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes88561.6¢0.5¢$4.87−$540$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes6777¢2.8¢$1.88−$50$0
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No18.5k69.2¢0¢$0−$12.8k$0
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No5,39939.9¢0¢$0−$2,156$0
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?No2,18390.9¢0¢$0−$1,985$0
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No2,00044.5¢0¢$0−$890$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,70016.2¢0¢$0−$276−$9.80
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No1,60073¢0¢$0−$1,168−$17
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No1,20072.4¢0¢$0−$869−$233
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No80086¢0¢$0−$688$0
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Yes80017.7¢0¢$0−$142$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No75094¢0¢$0−$705+$57
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 10 2026?No59381.7¢0¢$0−$484−$3.55
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No55031.3¢0¢$0−$172+$204
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?Yes50236.2¢0¢$0−$182−$4.64
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes50046¢0¢$0−$230$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?No50084¢0¢$0−$420−$2.69
Will Micron (MU) close above $940 end of August?No50072¢0¢$0−$360−$4.03
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes49225.8¢0¢$0−$127−$182
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes45993.8¢0¢$0−$430−$523
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of August 3 2026?No41373.9¢0¢$0−$305−$3.18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes40074¢0¢$0−$296−$3.85
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes30067¢0¢$0−$201−$48
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes30010.1¢0¢$0−$30−$0.82
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?No30087.5¢0¢$0−$263$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No30073¢0¢$0−$219$0
Fed rate hike in 2026?No30041.7¢0¢$0−$125−$52
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes29065.1¢0¢$0−$189−$2.96
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland27062.1¢0¢$0−$168−$1.44
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?No22039.9¢0¢$0−$88−$1.58
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No21074¢0¢$0−$155−$1.62
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in August?No20054¢0¢$0−$108−$1.99
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No20076¢0¢$0−$152−$1.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes20091¢0¢$0−$182−$0.49
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No20080.5¢0¢$0−$161$0
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes19732.5¢0¢$0−$64−$161
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 10 2026?No18089¢0¢$0−$160$0
Spread: England (-1.5)England17018.2¢0¢$0−$31−$0.39
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC15022¢0¢$0−$33$0
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Yes11011.2¢0¢$0−$12$0
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes1109.7¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of August 3 2026?No10050¢0¢$0−$50−$1.00
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $900 Week of August 10 2026?No10058¢0¢$0−$58−$0.97
Spurs vs. ThunderThunder10011.8¢0¢$0−$12−$0.31
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 3 2026?No10086.9¢0¢$0−$87−$0.46
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19?Yes10057¢0¢$0−$57−$1.23
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Yes9818.5¢0¢$0−$18−$40
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)AC Monza9165.9¢0¢$0−$60−$0.82
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes9077.9¢0¢$0−$70−$7.44
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No8262.6¢0¢$0−$51−$0.43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by August 31?No8014.5¢0¢$0−$12−$0.40
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-26?Yes8090¢0¢$0−$72−$0.36
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Spain7071¢0¢$0−$50−$0.17
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under7089.2¢0¢$0−$62−$0.34
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes6817.7¢0¢$0−$12−$0.30
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?Yes6568.2¢0¢$0−$44−$37
Will Josh Giddey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?Yes6023¢0¢$0−$14$0
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)SS Lazio6073¢0¢$0−$44−$0.35
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes6056¢0¢$0−$34−$0.44
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?No6080¢0¢$0−$48−$0.48
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of August 31 2026?No5056¢0¢$0−$28−$0.49
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5065¢0¢$0−$33−$0.34
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 28 2026?No5085¢0¢$0−$43−$0.26
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5091.8¢0¢$0−$46−$0.19

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?88¢20$1887%46
BUY YesWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?93¢391$36487%46
BUY NoWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?93.3¢1,000$93387%46
BUY NoWill China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?98.5¢50$4987%46
BUY NoWill Shanghai Port win the 2026-27 AFC Champions League Elite?93¢20$1987%46
BUY NoWill Shanghai Port win the 2026-27 AFC Champions League Elite?92¢200$18487%46
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026?99¢300$29787%46
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 5 2026?81¢38$3187%46
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $244 Week of October 5 2026?99¢50$5087%46
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026?98.5¢17$1787%46
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 5 2026?91¢20$1887%46
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 5 2026?99¢10$9.9087%46
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 Week of October 5 2026?69¢180$12487%46
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of September 28 2026?99¢750$74387%46
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of September 28 2026?99.1¢140$13987%46
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of September 28 2026?96.4¢30$2987%46
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 28 2026?88¢100$8887%46
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 28 2026?85¢30$2687%46
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 28 2026?85¢10$8.5087%46
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 Week of September 28 2026?88¢47$4187%46