sharpside
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Traders/Rank #12,344

fabriksopor

0x7c3…f4f2
1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,342vol $94.8k
PnL 30d−$220gains $407 · losses $870
PnL 7d+$198win rate 7d 13.3%
Win rate16.1%adj 17.5% · 30d 16.1%
Open value$959cash n/a
Positions136 / 1,451open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,297below peak −$2,229Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 16.1% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?No17087¢90.6¢$154+$6.12$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?No21070.9¢71.5¢$150+$1.35$0
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?Yes29029¢49.5¢$144+$59$0
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?Yes29026.2¢44¢$128+$52$0
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes15076¢80.5¢$121+$6.75$0
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?No12083.1¢82.5¢$99−$0.69$0
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Yes6052¢40.5¢$24−$6.90$0
Will Slovácko be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)?Yes2433.8¢35.5¢$8.49+$0.41$0
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes2026¢37.5¢$7.50+$2.30+$4.00
Will Thomas Muller retire before 1 July 2027?Yes1243¢53.1¢$6.37+$1.21$0
Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?No2652¢21¢$5.46−$8.06$0
Will A.J. Brown have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes3221¢16.5¢$5.35−$1.46−$0.68
Will SK Artis Brno be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)?Yes2433¢22¢$5.28−$2.64$0
Will Red Star Belgrade be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?Yes4017¢12.8¢$5.12−$1.68$0
Will Jameson Williams finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns?Yes4011.8¢10¢$4.00−$0.72$0
Will Oklahoma State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes555¢79.5¢$3.90+$1.20$0
Will Jaxson Dart finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?Yes248.1¢15.5¢$3.77+$1.80−$1.11
Will FC Lahti be relegated from the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?Yes3224¢11.7¢$3.73−$3.95$0
Will New York Jets finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?Yes4013.8¢8.6¢$3.44−$2.08$0
Will Raphinha win the most Player of the Match awards in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes1913.1¢16.5¢$3.14+$0.64$0
Will the Democrats win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No2030¢15.5¢$3.10−$2.90$0
Will Nashville Predators advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Yes3019¢10¢$3.00−$2.70−$0.90
Will Marseille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No365¢93.5¢$2.92+$0.89$0
Will the New Orleans Saints make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No450¢75¢$2.91+$0.97$0
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes431¢64.5¢$2.88+$1.49$0
Will Lyon qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No431¢61.5¢$2.74+$1.36$0
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No456¢60.5¢$2.61+$0.19$0
Will Greg Vanney win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?Yes3911.5¢6.5¢$2.49−$1.95$0
Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?No336¢76.4¢$2.47+$1.30$0
Will UNAM Pumas finish the 2026-27 Liga MX season with the best combined goal differential?Yes407.6¢5.7¢$2.26−$0.78$0
Will Yemen win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Yes4012¢5.6¢$2.22−$2.58$0
Will Texas A&M have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No332¢75¢$2.17+$1.25$0
Will Benin win AFCON 2027?Yes4025¢5¢$2.00−$8.00$0
Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?No2028¢10¢$2.00−$3.60$0
Will the season series between the Rams and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No450¢48¢$1.96−$0.08−$1.58
Will Dayne St. Clair win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?Yes405.9¢4.4¢$1.76−$0.60$0
Will Caleb Williams have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No244¢80.5¢$1.72+$0.78+$0.16
Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?Yes4011.6¢4.3¢$1.70−$2.94$0
Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Yes425¢44¢$1.56+$0.67−$0.16
Will Armand Laurienté (Sassuolo) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?Yes407.7¢3.6¢$1.42−$1.66$0
Will Independiente Medellín be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?Yes4013¢3.1¢$1.24−$3.96$0
Will New York Giants finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?Yes4011.4¢3¢$1.20−$3.36$0
Will Chris Godwin have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No29¢43.5¢$1.08+$0.86$0
Will Jorge Martin win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?Yes420.1¢26¢$1.03+$0.23+$5.57
Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Yes224.4¢47.5¢$1.00+$0.49−$4.78
Will Bolaji Odusina win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?Yes208¢4.9¢$0.98−$0.62$0
Will Ferran Torres (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Yes519.7¢20¢$0.98+$0.01+$0.41
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?No236¢53.5¢$0.96+$0.31$0
Will Manchester United finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No237¢47.5¢$0.92+$0.20$0
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No334¢29.5¢$0.90−$0.14+$3.29
Will Kyrgyzstan win Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Yes910¢9.5¢$0.86−$0.05$0
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No367¢32.5¢$0.85−$0.91−$0.18
Will Como qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No245¢49.5¢$0.84+$0.08$0
Will the Jaguars win the season series against the Colts during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes428.6¢22¢$0.78−$0.23−$6.86
Will Jess Burns win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?Yes2013¢3.9¢$0.77−$1.83$0
Will Ken Dorsey win the next Burnie mayoral election?Yes2011¢3.8¢$0.75−$1.45$0
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?Yes313¢21.5¢$0.75+$0.30−$1.76
Will John Sunday Sura win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Yes2011¢3.5¢$0.69−$1.51$0
Will Sam LaPorta have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1510¢4.6¢$0.68−$0.82−$1.81
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?Yes255¢34¢$0.62−$0.38$0
Will Tanzania win AFCON 2027?Yes409¢1.5¢$0.60−$3.00$0
Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Eagles during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes240¢35.5¢$0.56−$0.07−$3.27
Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?No128¢36.5¢$0.51+$0.12−$0.20
Will Denmark host the 2027 UEFA Nations League Finals?Yes1211¢4.1¢$0.49−$0.83$0
Will Shanghai Shenhua be relegated from the 2026 Chinese Super League?Yes7511.1¢0.7¢$0.49−$7.85−$0.01
Will the 2027 UEFA Champions League winner come from Portugal?Yes4010¢1.2¢$0.46−$3.54$0
Will Derrick Henry finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?Yes416¢11¢$0.42−$0.19$0
Will Altay Bayındır (Celta Vigo) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?Yes1010.1¢3.7¢$0.38−$0.66$0
Will Bayern Munich score the most goals in the UCL league phase?Yes124.6¢24.5¢$0.36$0−$1.70
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 21% or more?Yes414¢9.7¢$0.35−$0.15+$0.01
Will Los Angeles Chargers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns?Yes209.2¢1.7¢$0.33−$1.51$0
Will Cape Verde win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group K?Yes240¢15¢$0.30−$0.50$0
Will Villarreal qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes225¢14.6¢$0.29−$0.21+$0.70
Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?Yes210.1¢16.5¢$0.26+$0.10−$3.37
Will Liverpool qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No133¢25.5¢$0.26−$0.07+$0.24
Will Roma qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No121¢19.5¢$0.25−$0.02+$0.40
Donald Trump Jr. Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes2012¢1.3¢$0.25−$2.15$0
Will Frances Tiafoe Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsNo246.1¢10.8¢$0.25−$0.82−$4.98
Will FC Kairat be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?Yes409.3¢0.5¢$0.22−$3.50$0
Will it snow in Indianapolis, IN by November 30?No344¢6.6¢$0.20−$1.14−$4.58
Will Maghnes Akliouche (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Yes3518.4¢0.5¢$0.19−$6.25−$0.35
Will Conny Glenn win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?Yes2030¢1¢$0.19−$5.81$0
Will West Virginia have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes226.9¢11¢$0.18−$0.26−$4.58
Will Mika Biereth (Monaco) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Yes3813.2¢0.5¢$0.17−$4.84−$0.24
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 15%-18%?Yes215.2¢7.5¢$0.17−$0.17−$2.64
Will Bodø/Glimt be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?Yes4017¢0.4¢$0.16−$6.64$0
Will Mali win AFCON 2027?Yes58¢2.8¢$0.14−$0.26$0
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes408.8¢0.4¢$0.14−$3.38$0
Will Adam Barnett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?Yes49¢3.7¢$0.14−$0.20$0
Will Henry Onwuachu win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Yes2012¢0.7¢$0.13−$2.27$0
Will SDS win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes2017¢0.6¢$0.12−$3.28$0
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?Yes223¢5.6¢$0.11−$0.35$0
Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?No122¢7.5¢$0.11−$0.21$0
Will the Democrats win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No117¢8.5¢$0.10−$0.10$0
Will Netherlands host the 2027 UEFA Nations League Finals?Yes410¢2.6¢$0.10−$0.30−$0.08
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?No137¢6.9¢$0.10−$0.44$0
Will Necaxa finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes4011.5¢0.3¢$0.10−$4.50$0
Will Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?Yes169¢0.6¢$0.10−$1.37$0
Will Kellen Moore win the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes214¢5.5¢$0.10−$0.15$0
Will New England Patriots finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?Yes406.9¢0.2¢$0.08−$2.68$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?26.2¢290$7616%28
BUY YesWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?29¢290$8416%28
BUY NoWill Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?83.1¢120$10016%28
BUY YesWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?76¢150$11416%28
BUY NoWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?87¢170$14816%28
BUY NoWill the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?70.9¢210$14916%28
BUY YesWill annual inflation be 3.6% in September?52¢60$3116%28
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?27¢280$7616%28
BUY NoWill London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in September?81.4¢100$8116%28
BUY YesWill the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?85¢110$9416%28
BUY YesWill there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?94¢60$5616%28
SELL NoWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?49¢6$2.9416%28
SELL YesWill the Commanders win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?10¢18$1.7616%28
SELL YesWill Luka Modric retire before 1 July 2027?3.3¢12$0.4016%28
SELL YesWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?11¢20$2.2016%28
SELL NoWill Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?63¢18$1116%28
SELL YesWill Drake London have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?1¢12$0.1216%28
SELL YesWill Liberia win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group K?7¢40$2.7816%28
SELL YesWill Drew Mestemaker be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?1¢8$0.0816%28
SELL NoWill Chris Olave have 1.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?1¢14$0.1416%28