| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 335k | 50¢ | 80¢ | $268k | +$100k | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 80.0k | 84.3¢ | 84.5¢ | $67.6k | +$162 | +$32.5k | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 335k | 50¢ | 20.1¢ | $67.2k | −$100k | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 54.1k | 92.9¢ | 90.5¢ | $49.0k | −$1,299 | −$427 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 40.0k | 93.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $37.8k | +$543 | +$3,339 | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | No | 40.0k | 74.9¢ | 78.5¢ | $31.4k | +$1,460 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | No | 30.0k | 81.3¢ | 81.5¢ | $24.4k | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 13.3k | 77.6¢ | 96.2¢ | $12.8k | +$2,472 | +$2,067 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.1k | 95.9¢ | 97¢ | $11.7k | +$133 | +$628 | |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 11.4k | 91.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $10.6k | +$115 | +$326 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 9,900 | 98¢ | 98.8¢ | $9,776 | +$74 | +$627 | |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | No | 11.8k | 80.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $9,609 | +$77 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | No | 10.9k | 83.9¢ | 84.5¢ | $9,177 | +$63 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 10,000 | 89¢ | 91.5¢ | $9,150 | +$250 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 10.3k | 78.4¢ | 79.5¢ | $8,185 | +$116 | −$1,713 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 8,211 | 92.4¢ | 96.5¢ | $7,920 | +$332 | +$60 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 7,314 | 95.1¢ | 97.9¢ | $7,157 | +$199 | −$2,398 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 6,395 | 93.9¢ | 95.7¢ | $6,117 | +$113 | $0 | |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 5,550 | 90¢ | 89.5¢ | $4,967 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 95¢ | 98.7¢ | $4,933 | +$183 | +$700 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 5,000 | 94¢ | 96¢ | $4,798 | +$98 | $0 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 5,000 | 94.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $4,725 | −$2.97 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 4,982 | 92.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $4,708 | +$91 | −$1,966 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 5,073 | 91¢ | 92.5¢ | $4,693 | +$76 | +$54 | |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 5,000 | 88¢ | 88.5¢ | $4,425 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 4,650 | 91.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $4,302 | +$50 | +$2.04 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.4k | 21.6¢ | 20.5¢ | $4,180 | −$218 | +$43 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 4,000 | 96.8¢ | 97.5¢ | $3,900 | +$28 | −$45 | |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 3,898 | 97¢ | 97.8¢ | $3,810 | +$28 | +$1.55 | |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 3,562 | 96.7¢ | 97.4¢ | $3,470 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7,064 | 48.1¢ | 46.5¢ | $3,285 | −$110 | +$161 | |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 3,000 | 94¢ | 96.9¢ | $2,907 | +$87 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 13.6k | 29.9¢ | 20.5¢ | $2,792 | −$1,277 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | No | 8,423 | 28.8¢ | 31¢ | $2,611 | +$187 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 30.0k | 14.1¢ | 8.1¢ | $2,415 | −$1,825 | +$256 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 3,000 | 79¢ | 78.5¢ | $2,355 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 2,362 | 97¢ | 97¢ | $2,290 | −$0.65 | +$354 | |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? | No | 2,232 | 91.7¢ | 96.3¢ | $2,148 | +$102 | $0 | |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 2,000 | 96.1¢ | 97.4¢ | $1,948 | +$26 | $0 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 2,000 | 96¢ | 97.3¢ | $1,945 | +$25 | +$1,529 | |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 91¢ | 97.3¢ | $1,945 | +$126 | +$60 | |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 2,000 | 96¢ | 96.2¢ | $1,924 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 2,000 | 94¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,890 | +$10 | −$543 | |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31? | No | 2,001 | 90¢ | 89.5¢ | $1,790 | −$10 | −$2.41 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 13.1k | 9.3¢ | 12.5¢ | $1,640 | +$426 | +$57 | |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 1,605 | 93¢ | 98.6¢ | $1,582 | +$89 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 2,683 | 36.2¢ | 58¢ | $1,555 | +$584 | +$163 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 13.3k | 52.7¢ | 11.5¢ | $1,525 | −$5,458 | −$7,072 | |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | No | 1,752 | 79.1¢ | 80.5¢ | $1,411 | +$24 | +$37 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 30.5k | 3.5¢ | 4.6¢ | $1,402 | +$323 | +$1,602 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1,420 | 93¢ | 96.7¢ | $1,373 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,900 | 65¢ | 69.5¢ | $1,320 | +$85 | +$5.99 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10,000 | 8¢ | 13.2¢ | $1,315 | +$515 | $0 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 4,900 | 26.5¢ | 26.5¢ | $1,298 | +$1.58 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 2,888 | 44.4¢ | 44¢ | $1,271 | −$10 | +$1.50 | |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,541 | 67.3¢ | 74.5¢ | $1,148 | +$112 | +$31 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 15.3k | 7.9¢ | 7.2¢ | $1,100 | −$114 | +$1,332 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 4,222 | 45.1¢ | 25.5¢ | $1,076 | −$827 | −$158 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,111 | 95.9¢ | 95.6¢ | $1,062 | −$3.89 | +$0.50 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | Yes | 1,294 | 76.5¢ | 77¢ | $997 | +$6.98 | +$1.50 | |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | No | 1,199 | 81¢ | 81.5¢ | $977 | +$5.99 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 1,311 | 75.1¢ | 74.5¢ | $977 | −$8.55 | $0 | |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 90¢ | 95.5¢ | $955 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $945 | +$15 | +$26 | |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | No | 1,000 | 90¢ | 94.5¢ | $945 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 90.2¢ | 91.5¢ | $915 | +$13 | +$130 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 1,100 | 80.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $897 | +$7.15 | −$29 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 1,111 | 79¢ | 77.5¢ | $861 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 896 | 91¢ | 95.5¢ | $855 | +$40 | +$0.09 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 960 | 87.6¢ | 88¢ | $845 | +$3.84 | −$84 | |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 90¢ | 82.5¢ | $825 | −$75 | −$5.50 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | No | 1,055 | 78.3¢ | 74.5¢ | $786 | −$40 | $0 | |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? | No | 784 | 95.1¢ | 95.6¢ | $750 | +$3.83 | +$1.26 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 777 | 94¢ | 95.5¢ | $742 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | No | 755 | 96.2¢ | 98.2¢ | $741 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027? | No | 725 | 82.3¢ | 95.1¢ | $689 | +$92 | −$3.30 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 23.1¢ | 22.5¢ | $675 | −$17 | +$163 | |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 677 | 95.1¢ | 98.3¢ | $665 | +$22 | +$4.00 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20.4k | 2.7¢ | 3.1¢ | $624 | +$63 | +$358 | |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 616 | 97.8¢ | 97.8¢ | $602 | −$0.37 | +$29 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 853 | 68.2¢ | 69.5¢ | $593 | +$11 | +$1.08 | |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 58.3k | 0.8¢ | 1¢ | $554 | +$87 | $0 | |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,149 | 10.3¢ | 9¢ | $553 | −$79 | +$13 | |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 550 | 93.2¢ | 97.9¢ | $538 | +$25 | −$3.68 | |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 527 | 95¢ | 97.6¢ | $514 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Excelsior be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie? | No | 495 | 90.5¢ | 96.7¢ | $479 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 800 | 61.5¢ | 58.5¢ | $468 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 649 | 68.7¢ | 71.5¢ | $464 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028? | No | 501 | 91.2¢ | 91.5¢ | $459 | +$1.69 | $0 | |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | No | 600 | 65.8¢ | 75.5¢ | $453 | +$58 | +$110 | |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31? | No | 501 | 92.5¢ | 89¢ | $446 | −$18 | +$1.22 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1,535 | 42.4¢ | 28.7¢ | $441 | −$210 | +$113 | |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? | No | 450 | 57¢ | 96.6¢ | $434 | +$178 | $0 | |
| GTA VI released by November 30? | Yes | 434 | 82.5¢ | 95.4¢ | $413 | +$56 | +$4.01 | |
| Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 415 | 95.4¢ | 97.6¢ | $405 | +$9.31 | +$1.07 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Michigan before the midterms? | Yes | 396 | 95.5¢ | 97.7¢ | $387 | +$8.58 | $0 | |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 928 | 51.7¢ | 41.5¢ | $385 | −$95 | −$9.64 | |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | No | 391 | 92.1¢ | 97.5¢ | $381 | +$21 | −$1,076 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 400 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $378 | +$6.00 | +$12 | |
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 400 | 88.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $366 | +$11 | $0 | |
