PnL all-time+$3,992vol $247k
PnL 30d+$88gains $67 · losses $6.00
PnL 7d+$54win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate67.5%adj 66.3% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$710cash n/a
Positions14 / 295open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.7%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 5d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$4,004below peak −$0.59Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 67.5% · shrunk toward 50%66
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d80
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$1,287Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$839Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Noclosed+$420Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? · Yesclosed+$299Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December? · Yesclosed+$260
Worst markets
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024? · Yesclosed−$277Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? · Yesclosed−$263Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yesclosed−$222India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1) · South Africaclosed−$209Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? · Noclosed−$186
Open positions · 14
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 359 | 98¢ | 95.7¢ | $343 | −$8.29 | $0 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 276 | 84.7¢ | 97.7¢ | $270 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 100 | 97.1¢ | 97.1¢ | $97 | −$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1,000 | 16.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$161 | $0 | |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1,000 | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$109 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1,000 | 8.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$88 | $0 | |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1,000 | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$83 | $0 | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1,000 | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$99 | $0 | |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 800 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 735 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29 | −$14 | |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Yes | 100 | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.20 | −$0.12 | |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 100 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin August 11-17? | Yes | 93 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.51 | $0 | |
| ODI Series England vs India: England vs India | India | 10 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.10 | −$0.08 |
Recent trades
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