PnL all-time+$227vol $5,743
PnL 30d+$521gains $618 · losses $20
PnL 7d+$527win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 56.0% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$111cash n/a
Positions8 / 13open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.6%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$853below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale34
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable37
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12? · Yesclosed+$616Will Bitcoin hit $100k today? · Noclosed+$326Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 13? · Yesopen+$18Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 11? · Yesopen+$8.23Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 11? · Yesclosed+$1.27
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 12? · Yesopen−$63Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 12? · Yesclosed−$20Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 12? · Yesopen−$16Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 11? · Yesopen−$11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12? · Yesopen−$9.88
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 13? | Yes | 626 | 14.7¢ | 17.5¢ | $109 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 13? | Yes | 5 | 19¢ | 20.5¢ | $1.02 | +$0.07 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 12? | Yes | 749 | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$62 | −$1.32 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 11? | Yes | 500 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$0.01 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12? | Yes | 450 | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.70 | −$0.18 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3AM ET | Down | 133 | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.00 | −$0.07 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 12? | Yes | 100 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 11? | Yes | 74 | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.46 | +$16 |
Recent trades
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