| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 43.1k | 54.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $30.4k | +$6,878 | $0 | |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 670 | 65¢ | 89.5¢ | $600 | +$164 | +$87 | |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 87.0k | 1.2¢ | 0.5¢ | $478 | −$548 | −$28 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 324 | 64¢ | 90.5¢ | $293 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 11.0k | 1.7¢ | 1.3¢ | $138 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | No | 133 | 72¢ | 77.5¢ | $103 | +$7.29 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? | Yes | 692 | 5.2¢ | 2.8¢ | $19 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 9 | 52¢ | 83¢ | $7.52 | +$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 4 | 66.7¢ | 82.2¢ | $3.19 | +$0.60 | −$550 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 200k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,241 | +$419 | |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | No | 123k | 15.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18.6k | +$56 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100.0k | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$900 | $0 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | No | 76.9k | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.6k | +$933 | |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31? | Yes | 66.2k | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,856 | −$278 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 44.2k | 11.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,995 | $0 | |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 39.7k | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,418 | +$1,828 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 30.0k | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,500 | $0 | |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? | Yes | 25.3k | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,092 | +$129 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? | No | 25.1k | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19.1k | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? | Yes | 21.9k | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,430 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%? | Yes | 21.9k | 45.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.0k | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 20.6k | 43.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,947 | −$1,206 | |
| Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 20.1k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$199 | $0 | |
| Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 19.2k | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$427 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | No | 16.9k | 36.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,147 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 14.3k | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$647 | $0 | |
| Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 14.1k | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,855 | −$208 | |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 13.4k | 48.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,540 | +$37 | |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 13.2k | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$472 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025? | Yes | 13.0k | 16.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,151 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | Yes | 11.7k | 43.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,152 | $0 | |
| Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30? | No | 11.5k | 80.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,263 | −$2,293 | |
| Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election? | No | 10,000 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,500 | $0 | |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | No | 7,996 | 65¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,197 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | Yes | 6,611 | 18.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,199 | $0 | |
| Will Dua Lipa be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 6,311 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Rihanna be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 6,311 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 6,311 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 6,311 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Chris Brown be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 6,311 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 6,311 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Eminem be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 6,311 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Ed Sheeran be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 6,311 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 6,311 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Ye be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 6,311 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 6,311 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$13 | |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August? | No | 4,404 | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$304 | $0 | |
| Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'? | No | 4,002 | 68.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,754 | $0 | |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | 2,745 | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$98 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 1,980 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$673 | $0 | |
| Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be under 300k? | Yes | 1,390 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.85 | $0 | |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | No | 1,328 | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56 | −$2.14 | |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 1,324 | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42 | $0 | |
| OpenAI social app in 2025? | No | 1,210 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$847 | $0 | |
| Will Powell say "Probability" during September press conference? | No | 1,200 | 61¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$732 | $0 | |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1,086 | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$62 | $0 | |
| Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference? | No | 1,000 | 73¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$730 | $0 | |
| Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode? | No | 900 | 72¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$648 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? | No | 829 | 57.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$479 | $0 | |
| Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election? | Yes | 816 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$114 | $0 | |
| Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference? | Yes | 807 | 61¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$493 | $0 | |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Thunder | 800 | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$232 | −$4.94 | |
| Will anyone say "Tylenol" during South Park's prediction market episode? | Yes | 680 | 28.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$196 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by July 31? | Yes | 607 | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$1.83 | |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? | Yes | 557 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$83 | $0 | |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out first? | Yes | 550 | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will Powell say "Uncertainty" 7+ times during July Press Conference? | Yes | 500 | 68¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$340 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31? | Yes | 417 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$117 | $0 | |
| Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? | No | 378 | 46.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$177 | $0 | |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July? | No | 348 | 67.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$234 | $0 | |
| Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800? | Yes | 261 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$86 | $0 | |
| Will Taylor Swift say "Album" 5+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday? | No | 240 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Palestine" during September? | No | 173 | 67¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$116 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | Yes | 150 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams? | Yes | 150 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$98 | |
| Will MrBeast raise 40m on Saturday August 30? | Yes | 111 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025? | Yes | 100 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July? | No | 43 | 71¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Powell say "Spike" during July Press Conference? | Yes | 28 | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 21 | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.74 | $0 | |
| Will Xi Jinping be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? | Yes | 11 | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | 5 | 40.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.03 | $0 | |