sharpside
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0x7cb…1288

0x7cb…1288
PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,611vol $76.2k
PnL 30d+$715gains $1,011 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$169win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate47.0%adj 47.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,207cash n/a
Positions37 / 389open / all-time
Max drawdown−67.6%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,478below peak −$599Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 47.0% · shrunk toward 50%18
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity32

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 37

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?No17284¢93¢$160+$15$0
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?No31350¢50.5¢$158+$1.56$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?No15784.6¢98.8¢$155+$22$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?No17589¢88.5¢$155−$0.88$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes53829¢28.5¢$153−$2.69$0
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No11578¢99.6¢$114+$25$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes35339¢30¢$106−$32$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No20546¢50.3¢$103+$8.92$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No6851.7¢54.3¢$37+$1.72$0
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?No68314.3¢2.5¢$17−$81$0
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No3455.4¢45.5¢$15−$3.31$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?No38141¢4¢$15−$141$0
Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?No23616.3¢4.1¢$9.56−$29$0
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?No1139¢41.5¢$4.57+$0.28$0
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?No3510.3¢10¢$3.50−$0.10$0
Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?Yes1,36010.9¢0¢$0−$148$0
Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?Yes1,30511.4¢0¢$0−$149$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes1,15012.5¢0¢$0−$144−$5.03
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No1,00013¢0¢$0−$130$0
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes93515¢0¢$0−$140$0
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No89617¢0¢$0−$152$0
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No88017¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No80418.4¢0¢$0−$148−$4.53
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No76418¢0¢$0−$138−$3.58
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes76316.4¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?No75213¢0¢$0−$98−$3.40
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes50032¢0¢$0−$160$0
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes44438.3¢0¢$0−$170$0
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?Yes43030¢0¢$0−$129$0
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?Yes42936¢0¢$0−$154−$4.94
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes40614.9¢0¢$0−$60−$0.07
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes40013¢0¢$0−$52$0
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?No30847¢0¢$0−$145$0
Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?Yes23634¢0¢$0−$80−$2.00
Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Yes23546.5¢0¢$0−$109$0
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?Yes19719.3¢0¢$0−$38−$0.14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No13322.9¢0¢$0−$30−$0.19

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?39¢11$4.2947%51
BUY NoWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?50¢313$15747%51
BUY NoWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?51.7¢16$8.4947%51
BUY YesWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?29¢538$15647%51
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?81¢186$15147%51
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?69¢192$13247%51
BUY NoWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?83¢1$0.6047%51
BUY NoWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?81¢60$4947%51
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?68¢21$1447%51
BUY YesIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?77¢40$3147%51
BUY NoWill Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?13¢752$9847%51
BUY NoWill Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?17¢60$1047%51
BUY NoIcelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?38¢8$3.0447%51
SELL NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?98.2¢1,239$1,21747%51
BUY NoWill Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?49¢140$6947%51
BUY NoWill Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?67¢63$4347%51
BUY NoWill "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?37¢232$8647%51
BUY NoWill Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?12¢5$0.6047%51
BUY NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?12¢1,239$14947%51
BUY NoWill Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?20¢412$8247%51