PnL all-time+$671vol $30.5k
PnL 30d−$1,487gains $895 · losses $284
PnL 7d−$1,487win rate 7d 53.8%
Win rate53.8%adj 51.5% · 30d 53.8%
Open value$446cash n/a
Positions7 / 20open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age4dlast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale40
Adjusted win rateraw 53.8% · shrunk toward 50%29
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Noclosed+$339Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yesclosed+$309Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Noclosed+$133Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yesclosed+$64Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026? · Noclosed+$45
Worst markets
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yesopen−$1,269Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yesopen−$809Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yesclosed−$92Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yesclosed−$84Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats? · Yesclosed−$43
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats? | Yes | 227 | 89.7¢ | 97¢ | $220 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 3,238 | 6.2¢ | 5.7¢ | $185 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 1,671 | 81.1¢ | 1.7¢ | $28 | −$1,327 | +$58 | |
| Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 4,006 | 20.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $6.01 | −$809 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 161 | 1.9¢ | 2.8¢ | $4.43 | +$1.43 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 143 | 14¢ | 1.3¢ | $1.79 | −$18 | $0 |
Recent trades
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