PnL all-time+$24.8kvol $557k
PnL 30d−$11.1kgains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$6,571win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate95.9%adj 82.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$44.1kcash n/a
Positions7 / 56open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.2%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 19d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$26.7kbelow peak −$985Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 95.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable58
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d34
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesopen+$1,583Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Noclosed+$1,504Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$1,501Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? · Noclosed+$1,495Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Noclosed+$1,483
Worst markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$1,581Maduro out in 2025? · Noclosed−$236Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yesopen−$103Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen−$100Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May? · Yesclosed−$2.00
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 20.4k | 82.8¢ | 90.5¢ | $18.5k | +$1,583 | $0 | |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 6,130 | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | $6,130 | +$116 | −$4.57 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 6,100 | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $6,100 | +$98 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 5,800 | 87¢ | 93.7¢ | $5,435 | +$389 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6,200 | 82.2¢ | 80.5¢ | $4,991 | −$103 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4,000 | 75¢ | 72.5¢ | $2,900 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3,210 | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,541 | −$40 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s