PnL all-time+$334kvol $20.7M
PnL 30d+$230kgains $327k · losses $404k
PnL 7d+$1,880win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate65.3%adj 62.6% · 30d 44.4%
Open value$222kcash n/a
Positions6 / 125open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$299kbelow peak −$12.0kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale79
Adjusted win rateraw 65.3% · shrunk toward 50%57
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$183kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$172kWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$137kWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$125kWill Norway vs. England end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$125k
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 129k | 70.2¢ | 83.5¢ | $108k | +$17.2k | +$5,250 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 515k | 29.1¢ | 15.5¢ | $79.8k | −$70.1k | +$1,086 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 39.7k | 83.1¢ | 84.5¢ | $33.6k | +$551 | −$17.8k | |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 8.3¢ | 22.5¢ | $675 | +$425 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 171k | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $597 | −$601 | +$98 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 9¢ | 22.5¢ | $225 | +$135 | $0 |
Recent trades
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