PnL all-time−$393vol $55.8k
PnL 30d+$22gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$9.33win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate47.7%adj 48.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$539cash n/a
Positions54 / 98open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 47.7% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman? · Yesopen+$473Will Mexico win Miss Universe 2025? · Yesclosed+$230Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? · Noclosed+$209Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27? · Noclosed+$188Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9? · Noclosed+$153
Worst markets
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31? · Noopen−$150Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yesopen−$150Will Leavitt say "Maduro" during next White House press briefing? · Yesopen−$100Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31? · Yesopen−$100US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24? · Yesclosed−$100
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards? | Yes | 465 | 53.7¢ | 56.5¢ | $263 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 740 | 13.5¢ | 20.5¢ | $152 | +$52 | $0 | |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | No | 133 | 15¢ | 37.5¢ | $50 | +$30 | $0 | |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | No | 88 | 22.7¢ | 50¢ | $44 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 37 | 53.8¢ | 50.3¢ | $19 | −$1.30 | $0 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 400 | 25¢ | 2.9¢ | $11 | −$89 | $0 |
Recent trades
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