PnL all-time+$207vol $25.1k
PnL 30d+$3.18gains $1.87 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.30win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate91.7%adj 84.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$484cash n/a
Positions4 / 104open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.6%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$209below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale33
Adjusted win rateraw 91.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14? · Yesclosed+$88Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? · Noclosed+$51Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? · Yesclosed+$24Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$14Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? · Noclosed+$12
Worst markets
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$21Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$20Will Wisconsin be the closest state? · Yesclosed−$4.23Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross more than $70m on 3-day opening weekend? · Yesclosed−$4.00Elon Musk arrested in 2024? · Yesclosed−$3.00
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 408 | 96.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $397 | +$1.70 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October? | No | 40 | 97.9¢ | 96.5¢ | $39 | −$0.56 | $0 | |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 40 | 96.9¢ | 96.5¢ | $39 | −$0.18 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $288 in October? | No | 10 | 99¢ | 99.1¢ | $9.90 | +$0.01 | $0 |
Recent trades
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