sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

KTKK

0x7e0…63be
WR 70+WR 60+1y+OtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,420vol $1.69M
PnL 30d−$484gains $785 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$63win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate72.5%adj 71.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$35.6kcash n/a
Positions38 / 1,201open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,277below peak −$9,532Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 72.5% · shrunk toward 50%79
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? · Noopen+$1,945US recession by end of 2026? · Noopen+$1,189Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,106Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yesopen+$892Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Noclosed+$768

Worst markets

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? · Noopen−$2,517Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · Noopen−$2,045Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? · Yesclosed−$1,716Fed rate hike in 2026? · Noopen−$1,674Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Noopen−$1,575

Open positions · 38

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US recession by end of 2026?No4,27565.7¢93.5¢$3,997+$1,189$0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes4,00077.6¢95.5¢$3,820+$714+$178
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?No3,00085¢99.9¢$2,996+$446$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No3,00081.7¢97.7¢$2,930+$478−$303
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No3,00080.1¢87¢$2,610+$206$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No2,70062.7¢89.5¢$2,417+$725$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No2,1597.7¢97.8¢$2,111+$1,945$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No2,00085.5¢99.7¢$1,994+$284$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?No2,00075.9¢97.6¢$1,951+$432+$1.92
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?No1,51963.6¢94.5¢$1,435+$469$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No1,22889.2¢98.4¢$1,208+$112$0
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No1,13672.9¢91.5¢$1,039+$211−$67
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?No1,42460.4¢72.5¢$1,033+$172+$22
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?No1,00086¢96.2¢$962+$102$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No4,00072.8¢21.7¢$866−$2,048+$2.33
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?No2,00069.6¢35.5¢$710−$683$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?No73092¢97.1¢$709+$37$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?No6009.3¢98.3¢$590+$534$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?No59893¢98¢$586+$30$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No54081¢95.5¢$516+$78$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?No57870¢56¢$324−$81+$8.44
Japan recession in 2026?No22472.1¢95.5¢$214+$52$0
Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026?No11580¢99.4¢$114+$22$0
Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?No10567¢93.9¢$98+$28$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?No9575.4¢98.8¢$93+$22−$3.76
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No2,00062.6¢4.3¢$86−$1,166−$410
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?No7125.5¢98.8¢$70+$52$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Yes3,00033¢1.9¢$57−$933$0
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?Yes1,15015.9¢3.9¢$44−$138$0
Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?Yes3646.1¢55¢$20+$3.20+$2.98
Fed rate hike in 2026?No5,00045¢0¢$0−$2,250+$576
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No3,00083.9¢0¢$0−$2,516−$0.41
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?No1,04482.7¢0¢$0−$863+$71
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes1,00061¢0¢$0−$610−$12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 24?No1,00012¢0¢$0−$120−$7.39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?No50031.2¢0¢$0−$156−$2.01
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of August?No30037¢0¢$0−$111−$2.80
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $465 end of August?No7044¢0¢$0−$31−$0.69

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?69¢150$10473%47
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?31.1¢134$4273%47
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 24?12¢1,000$12073%47
BUY NoWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?72.7¢545$39673%47
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of August?73¢365$26673%47
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of August?37¢300$11173%47
BUY NoWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $465 end of August?44¢70$3173%47
BUY NoWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?69¢45$3173%47
BUY NoWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?68¢260$17773%47
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?35¢400$14073%47
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?61¢1,000$61073%47
BUY NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?76¢92$7073%47
BUY NoWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?76¢5$3.8073%47
BUY NoWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?60¢759$45573%47
BUY NoWill gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31?36¢170$6173%47
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?95¢1,000$95073%47
SELL NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?5.5¢496$2773%47
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?5¢770$3973%47
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?5¢830$4273%47
SELL NoWill there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?59.1¢500$29573%47