sharpside
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Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,140vol $98.9k
PnL 30d−$4.58gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$7.68win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.0%adj 57.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,839cash n/a
Positions13 / 96open / all-time
Max drawdown−80.3%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 3mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,268below peak −$676Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%45
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity20

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 13

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Obras vs. San LorenzoObras1,03345¢100¢$1,033+$568$0
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M PanthersSouthern Miss Golden Eagles1,19421¢50¢$597+$346$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No58963.5¢93.5¢$551+$176−$13
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No36725.9¢91.1¢$334+$239$0
Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple OwlsMichigan State Spartans55259¢50¢$276−$50$0
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes44474.1¢9¢$40−$289$0
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No978¢95¢$8.55+$1.53+$2.73
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?No51755.3¢0¢$0−$286$0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Under36862¢0¢$0−$228$0
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?Yes18525¢0¢$0−$46+$42
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over2780¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?Yes21.3¢0¢$0−$0.03+$0.16
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes20.6¢0¢$0−$0.01$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?89¢14$1260%36
SELL NoWill Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?85¢17$1460%36
SELL NoWill USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?0.7¢841$5.8960%36
SELL NoWill Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?81¢17$1460%36
SELL NoWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?66¢390$25760%36
BUY NoWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?67¢390$26160%36
BUY NoWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?25.9¢367$9560%36
SELL NoWill Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?48¢48$2360%36
SELL NoIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?70¢549$38460%36
SELL NoWill Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?73¢197$14460%36
SELL NoWill Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?73¢20$1560%36
SELL NoManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score58¢795$46160%36
SELL NoManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score58¢163$9560%36
BUY NoManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score84¢958$80560%36
BUY NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?64¢559$35860%36
BUY NoWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?55.3¢517$28660%36
BUY NoIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?83¢549$45660%36
SELL NoVanta IPO before 2027?76¢87$6660%36
SELL NoVanta IPO before 2027?84¢17$1460%36
SELL NoWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?62¢619$38460%36