PnL all-time+$510vol $994k
PnL 30d−$1,305gains $15.7k · losses $21.6k
PnL 7d+$2,983win rate 7d 20.0%
Win rate41.8%adj 42.4% · 30d 30.0%
Open value$5,850cash n/a
Positions5 / 291open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 13h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,534below peak −$2,792Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale39
Adjusted win rateraw 41.8% · shrunk toward 50%6
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$8,728Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yesclosed+$5,324Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Noclosed+$4,960Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yesclosed+$3,133Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$3,047
Worst markets
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yesclosed−$5,088Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$3,600Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m? · Yesclosed−$3,190Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m? · Noclosed−$2,668Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m? · Yesclosed−$2,216
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | No | 9,675 | 30¢ | 30.5¢ | $2,951 | +$48 | +$1.87 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 5,455 | 41.7¢ | 50.3¢ | $2,747 | +$471 | $0 | |
| Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m? | No | 101 | 99.2¢ | 99.8¢ | $101 | +$0.58 | −$8.89 | |
| Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | Yes | 56 | 16.7¢ | 76¢ | $42 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? | Yes | 56 | 16.7¢ | 17.5¢ | $9.76 | +$0.46 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s