| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 32.5k | 84.7¢ | 82.5¢ | $26.8k | −$726 | +$2,046 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15.8k | 82.4¢ | 79.5¢ | $12.6k | −$455 | −$58 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 7,000 | 94.4¢ | 94.5¢ | $6,615 | +$5.03 | +$60 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 6,475 | 91.9¢ | 96.2¢ | $6,229 | +$281 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 4,500 | 97.4¢ | 97.3¢ | $4,376 | −$4.75 | $0 | |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,000 | 94¢ | 97¢ | $2,909 | +$89 | −$811 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,567 | 97.3¢ | 97¢ | $2,489 | −$9.31 | +$131 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,600 | 90¢ | 92.5¢ | $2,405 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 2,196 | 82.8¢ | 80.5¢ | $1,767 | −$51 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 2,000 | 69¢ | 69.5¢ | $1,390 | +$10.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,303 | 97.5¢ | 97.7¢ | $1,273 | +$2.83 | $0 | |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 1,234 | 95.4¢ | 98.7¢ | $1,217 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 4,250 | 42.5¢ | 26.5¢ | $1,126 | −$680 | $0 | |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 4,155 | 45.2¢ | 25.5¢ | $1,060 | −$819 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 6,000 | 16.1¢ | 16.5¢ | $990 | +$24 | +$109 | |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 822 | 96.5¢ | 97.6¢ | $802 | +$8.48 | $0 | |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 800 | 99¢ | 99.4¢ | $795 | +$2.40 | $0 | |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 907 | 79¢ | 85.5¢ | $776 | +$59 | $0 | |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 4,022 | 19¢ | 18.5¢ | $744 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 2,615 | 45.5¢ | 26.5¢ | $693 | −$497 | $0 | |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 763 | 85.1¢ | 84¢ | $641 | −$8.07 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 637 | 95.5¢ | 96.2¢ | $613 | +$4.55 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 600 | 96¢ | 95.4¢ | $572 | −$3.65 | +$103 | |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 600 | 90¢ | 89.5¢ | $537 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 600 | 87¢ | 88.5¢ | $531 | +$9.00 | $0 | |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 2,050 | 38.9¢ | 23.5¢ | $482 | −$316 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 88.5¢ | 96.7¢ | $387 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 422 | 88.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $382 | +$8.55 | +$6.46 | |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1,813 | 28.2¢ | 20.5¢ | $372 | −$139 | −$28 | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 400 | 93¢ | 90.5¢ | $362 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2,000 | 22¢ | 17.5¢ | $350 | −$90 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 354 | 96.3¢ | 97¢ | $344 | +$2.39 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 1,330 | 41.9¢ | 25.5¢ | $339 | −$218 | $0 | |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 1,135 | 44.7¢ | 26.5¢ | $301 | −$207 | +$71 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 402 | 78¢ | 74.5¢ | $300 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 222 | 93¢ | 97.9¢ | $217 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | No | 200 | 98.7¢ | 98.8¢ | $198 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 95.7¢ | 97.6¢ | $195 | +$3.70 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 200 | 87¢ | 96.5¢ | $193 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 95.5¢ | 96¢ | $192 | +$0.90 | +$393 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 200 | 91¢ | 95.7¢ | $191 | +$9.30 | $0 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 200 | 91¢ | 91.5¢ | $183 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 200 | 74¢ | 88.5¢ | $177 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 78¢ | 87.5¢ | $175 | +$19 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 600 | 27.7¢ | 28.5¢ | $171 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 200 | 78¢ | 85.5¢ | $171 | +$15 | +$16 | |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | No | 181 | 80¢ | 78.5¢ | $142 | −$2.72 | −$12 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 523 | 65.5¢ | 19.5¢ | $102 | −$241 | +$10.00 | |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 90 | 93¢ | 96.6¢ | $86 | +$3.18 | +$58 | |
| Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026? | No | 86 | 96.7¢ | 91.5¢ | $78 | −$4.46 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 300 | 40¢ | 24.5¢ | $73 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 66 | 89.6¢ | 97¢ | $64 | +$4.85 | $0 | |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 422 | 17.1¢ | 14.5¢ | $61 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 292 | 70.8¢ | 18.5¢ | $54 | −$153 | $0 | |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 430 | 13¢ | 12.5¢ | $54 | −$2.15 | +$3.96 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 55 | 92¢ | 87¢ | $48 | −$2.75 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 222 | 30¢ | 21.5¢ | $48 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 55 | 85¢ | 86.5¢ | $48 | +$0.83 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? | No | 50 | 89¢ | 89.5¢ | $45 | +$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 50 | 84¢ | 84¢ | $42 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will three people dissent the October Fed decision? | No | 40 | 88.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $31 | −$4.80 | $0 | |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 200 | 16.7¢ | 12.5¢ | $25 | −$8.50 | $0 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 150 | 9¢ | 9.5¢ | $14 | +$0.75 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 200 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | $13 | −$7.00 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 73 | 26¢ | 17¢ | $12 | −$6.61 | +$2.40 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | No | 47 | 85¢ | 23.5¢ | $11 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 55 | 17¢ | 15.5¢ | $8.53 | −$0.82 | $0 | |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 50 | 15¢ | 16.5¢ | $8.25 | +$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | Yes | 32 | 21¢ | 21.5¢ | $6.80 | +$0.16 | $0 | |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? | No | 10 | 62¢ | 52.5¢ | $5.25 | −$0.95 | $0 | |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision? | No | 4 | 55¢ | 69.5¢ | $2.77 | +$0.58 | +$0.20 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 6.5¢ | 2.2¢ | $2.20 | −$4.30 | $0 | |
