sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #3,195

zctrading

0x7e5…e00b
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$729vol $63.0k
PnL 30d+$1,070gains $1,117 · losses $97
PnL 7d+$343win rate 7d 60.0%
Win rate77.8%adj 66.0% · 30d 77.8%
Open value$13.3kcash n/a
Positions15 / 42open / all-time
Max drawdown−81.5%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,266below peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale41
Adjusted win rateraw 77.8% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable54
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity19

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yesclosed+$324Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Noclosed+$250Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yesclosed+$218Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Noopen+$131Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yesopen+$120

Worst markets

US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? · Yesclosed−$577Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? · SDclosed−$75Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · Yesclosed−$39Trump renames AI by September 30? · Noclosed−$18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Noopen−$5.00

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes4,21493.7¢96.6¢$4,071+$120$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No3,00089¢91¢$2,730+$60$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No2,71091¢95.9¢$2,597+$131$0
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?Yes1,07589.9¢97.9¢$1,051+$85+$4.84
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,00084¢83.5¢$835−$5.00$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No45892¢91.5¢$419−$2.13$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?No40877.1¢88¢$359+$45$0
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?No33393.3¢97.4¢$324+$13$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes37279.5¢80.5¢$300+$3.86$0
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027?No28281.9¢96.9¢$273+$42$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No19394.7¢96.3¢$186+$3.14$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No6897.3¢97.3¢$66$0$0
Will Anthropic’s valuation be less than $500B at the end of October 2026?No5096¢99.4¢$50+$1.70$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?Yes708¢16¢$11+$5.63+$2.54
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?Yes516.8¢4¢$2.02−$1.45$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?92¢442$40778%36
BUY YesWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?96.8¢1,961$1,89878%36
BUY NoWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?88¢147$12978%36
BUY YesWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?80¢173$13878%36
SELL YesWill the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?98¢60$5978%36
BUY YesWill the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?89.9¢1,135$1,02078%36
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?94¢23$2278%36
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?93.3¢120$11278%36
BUY YesWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?6.8¢51$3.4778%36
SELL YesWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?11¢25$2.7478%36
SELL YesWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?15¢32$4.7678%36
BUY NoWill Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027?75¢65$4978%36
BUY NoWill Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?95¢104$9978%36
BUY NoWill Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?94¢80$7578%36
BUY NoWill Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027?84¢217$18278%36
BUY NoWill Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?93¢101$9478%36
BUY NoWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?73¢85$6278%36
BUY YesWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?8¢127$1078%36
BUY NoWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?72¢90$6578%36
BUY NoWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?71¢7$4.8978%36